Popular wisdom has it that the incumbent president's party is doomed to lose the first midterm elections, and predictions are not any different this year. However, a new survey suggests that Republicans may still have to fight for every single vote.
According to the Harris Poll, a total of 40 percent of all registered voters would cast their ballot for the Democratic candidate and 36 percent would go for the Republican candidate, if elections were held today.
However, the picture changes when the pool of respondents is limited to those who identify themselves as Independents, and whose votes are considered to be the biggest prize in this contest.
Among those Americans, only 23 percent would support a Democrat, while 35 percent would prefer a Republican candidate, with 27 percent undecided.
That said, if a Tea Party contestant is added to the mix, Democrats are again ahead, at 41 percent, while GOP candidates can only count on 23 percent support. The Tea Party representative would score 13 percent.
In order to win control over the House of Representatives, Republicans need to add a net of 39 seats to their rolls.