Statistics Don’t Lie, But Gun Grabbers Do


Gun grabbers love to cite a statistic they claim bolsters their argument that America’s murder rate is higher than other developed countries, particularly European countries. The figure they cite is 4.7 cases of murder and nonnegligent manslaughter per 100,000 inhabitants.

Compared to the U.K.’s rate of 1.2 per 100,000 and France’s 1.1 per 100,000, that figure does seem high. But here’s a little nugget they won’t tell you. It comes thanks to some work by the American Thinker’s Randall Hoven, who has dug into the FBI’s crime statistics: Remove the murders committed by blacks and illegal aliens and the U.S. murder rate is 1.0 per 100,000, in line with Sweden’s, another country the gun grabbers will hold up in comparison.

Here’s how Hoven’s math works. According to the FBI’s Expanded Homicide Data Table 3, the offender’s race is known in 10,471 of the 14,612 2011 U.S. murder cases. Blacks accounted for 5,486 of them, or 52 percent. Extrapolating that rate into all murders in the United States, blacks accounted for 7,656 of the 14,612 murders in 2011. According to Representative Steve King (R-Iowa), illegals murder 12 Americans every day (4,380 annually). His numbers match up with a report issued by the Government Accountability Office, which estimated that 25,064 criminal aliens had been arrested for murder, though it’s unclear over what timeframe that covered. It also didn’t take into account how many murders were committed by those illegals nor how many were committed by illegals in which no arrest was made.

So adding it all up, of the 14,612 murders in the United States in 2011, 7,656 were committed by blacks and 4,380 were committed by illegal aliens. That leaves 2,576 committed by non-black legal residents. If there are about 250 million non-blacks in the United States, the murder rate among non-blacks is about 1 per 100,000; the same as in Sweden.

According to UCLA history professor Peter Baldwin in his book The Narcissism of Minor Differences, “Take out the black underclass from the statistics, and even American murder rates fall to European levels.”

Despite the seemingly high rate among blacks, one number is most important of all to remember: 99.98 percent of U.S. blacks did not commit murder in 2011. And of the entire U.S. population, 99.99 percent did not murder anyone.

Gun grabbers want to take guns away from everyone because .004 percent of the population use them to kill someone.

Editor’s note: There’s a slight flaw in Hoven’s analysis, but the percentages are not affected. According to FBI Expanded Data Table 8, there were only 8,583 murders committed with a gun in 2011. He used numbers that included all homicides and nonnegligent manslaughter incidents. The number of gun murders has been dropping for several years. – BL

Bob Livingston

founder of Personal Liberty Digest™, is an ultra-conservative American author and editor of The Bob Livingston Letter™, in circulation since 1969. Bob has devoted much of his life to research and the quest for truth on a variety of subjects. Bob specializes in health issues such as nutritional supplements and alternatives to drugs, as well as issues of privacy (both personal and financial), asset protection and the preservation of freedom.