Comments Subscribe to Personal Liberty News Feed Subscribe to Personal Liberty
 

Competing Quake Predictions Analyzed

September 29, 2011 by  

DAVIS, Calif., Sept. 28 (UPI) — A competition held by the Southern California Earthquake Center could mean better earthquake forecasts and improve tools for assessing them, officials said.

In a study, researchers at the University of California, Davis, compared seven different earthquake forecasts — including their own — that were submitted in the competition launched in 2005 by the SCEC, headquartered at the University of Southern California.

Teams were required to forecast the probability of an earthquake of magnitude 4.95 or greater, from Jan. 1, 2006, to Dec. 31, 2010, in almost 8,000 grid squares covering California and bordering areas, a UC Davis release said Wendesday.

Thirty-one earthquakes struck in 22 grid squares in the time period, the largest a magnitude 7.2 earthquake just south of the U.S.-Mexican border in April 2010.

All seven forecasts showed some utility in forecasting the locations of likely earthquakes, the researchers said, and the best forecasts were about 10 times better than a random forecast.

UPI - United Press International, Inc.

Since 1907, United Press International (UPI) has been a leading provider of critical information to media outlets, businesses, governments and researchers worldwide.

Facebook Conversations

Join the Discussion:
View Comments to “Competing Quake Predictions Analyzed”

Comment Policy: We encourage an open discussion with a wide range of viewpoints, even extreme ones, but we will not tolerate racism, profanity or slanderous comments toward the author(s) or comment participants. Make your case passionately, but civilly. Please don't stoop to name calling. We use filters for spam protection. If your comment does not appear, it is likely because it violates the above policy or contains links or language typical of spam. We reserve the right to remove comments at our discretion.

Is there news related to personal liberty happening in your area? Contact us at newstips@personalliberty.com

Bottom
close[X]

Sign Up For Personal Liberty Digest™!

PL Badge

Welcome to PersonalLiberty.com,
America's #1 Source for Libertarian News!

To join our group of freedom-loving individuals and to get alerts as well as late-breaking conservative news from Personal Liberty Digest™...

Privacy PolicyYou can opt out at any time. We protect your information like a mother hen. We will not sell or rent your email address to anyone for any reason.