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CIS Study Links Rising Immigrant Population To Diminished GOP Support

March 5, 2010 by  

CIS study links rising immigrant population to diminished GOP support As the immigration reform issue continues to create controversy among Washington’s lawmakers, the Center for Immigration Studies (CIS) has released a report on the likely partisan consequences of continued mass immigration.

For the purpose of the study, James G. Gimpel, a professor of government at the University of Maryland, College Park, examined the Republican share of the vote and the foreign-born share of the population over three decades in all U.S. counties.

In his report for CIS entitled “Immigration, Political Realignment and the Demise of Republican Political Prospects,” he revealed that the electoral impact of immigration has been greatest in counties with large populations, where most immigrants settle. In these locations, Republicans have lost 0.58 percentage points in presidential elections for every one percentage-point increase in the size of the local immigrant population.

In fact, among counties with at least 50,000 residents, where the immigrant share increased by at least two percentage points from 1980 to 2008, a total of 62 percent saw a decline in the Republican percentage. In counties with at least a six percentage-point gain in the immigrant share, approximately 83 percent saw a decline in the GOP vote share.

However, Republicans have remained competitive in presidential elections because losses in high-immigration counties have been offset by gains in low-immigration counties, the report also found.
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  • s c

    Here’s a topic that has the potential to almost shame ultraliberal progressives, and rip off their many masks at the same time. Why would a prez create an open door policy and welcome millions of illegals to America?
    The answer is EASY VOTES. When your basic plan is to BUY VOTES via people who are promised this and that (despite the FACT that they are illegals and have NO legal or moral right to be here), you don’t have to be an Einstein to do the math and get the correct answer.
    Money, power and easy votes. What a ticket. What a philosophy. What models of morality. What a way of life.
    And they’re also the best and the brightest (?). Kinda. Sorta. Without a doubt, they’re also legends in their own minds, too. Who among us can claim that they’re not even close to being a class act?

    • William Nealey

      you are so right sc

      • abdul jabbar

        study inter

  • mrcharley

    I BELIEVE THIS IS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE THAT AMERICA NEEDS TO ADDRESS. THIS UNARMED(AND SOMETIMES ARMED) INVASION OF OUR COUNTRY HAS GOT TO STOP OR AT LEAST SLOWED WAY DOWN. IT IS NOT JUST MEXICO,YOU HAVE RUSSIA THE FORMER SOVIET BLOC NATIONS, MIDDLE EAST,ASIA,SOUTH AMERICA PROBABLY MORE. THERE ARE BETWEEN 12-20 AMERICANS KILLED EVERY DAY AT THE HANDS OF ILLEGAL ALIENS(GOOGLE IT IF YOU DO NOT BELIEVE) MORE CIVILLIANS HAVE BEEN KILLED BY ILLEGALS THAN BOTH GULF WARS COMBINED. SOLUITION? GIVE ALL ILLEGALS ONE YEAR TO GO BACK AND REGISTER WITH THEIR HOME COUNTRY(THEY WILL NOT BECAUSE 70% THAT FLED THEIR HOME COUNTRY, WAS WANTED IN THEIR HOME COUNTRY) ENFORCE LAWS LIKE JUST BECAUSE YOU HAD YOUR CHILD HERE WHILE YOU WERE HERE ILLEGALLY DOES NOT MAKE YOUR CHILD AN AMERICAN CITIZEN. AFTER THE YEAR EXPIRES. SWEAR IN BOUNTY HUNTERS LIKE THEY HAD TO DO IN THE OLD WEST. OFFER BOUNTY’S FOR CAPTURE OF ILLEGALS. FINE BUSINESSES UP TO AND INCLUDING TAKING YOUR BUSINESS IF YOU HIRE ILLEGALS (I KNOW ALOT OF AMERICANS WHO WILL TAKE THE SO CALLED JOBS THAT AMERICANS DO NOT WANT THAT IS WHY THE ILLEGALS ARE HERE. ONLY TOUGH SOLUTIONS WILL SOLVE TOUGH PROBLEMS. I KNOW I KNOW BECAUSE OF MY EXTREME RIGHT VIEW OF SOLVING THIS PLAGUE, I AM A RACIST HOMOPHOBE WHO DOES NOT RECYCLE LOL

    • Joe H.

      mrcharley,
      while I agree with most of what you say please take your caps lock off as it will not get read most of the time!!! It hurts the eyes!!!!

      • DaveH

        I second that motion. Most of the time I just skip over comments written in all uppercase.

    • William Nealey

      count me as a homophobe if thats what makes me one, I know two brothers one is here legal the other is illegal. they are both good hard working people but. it would not bother me one bit if the illegal one was caught and deported even tho he has kids that I truly like and they are well behaved kids. he should follow his brothers lead and do the legal thing,

    • marvin

      i have said the samething for years and the sad thing is the left are to caught up in their sanging combiya and we will over come with people like MARK Lloyd obamas chief diversity czar in the FCC saying that all white people need to step down so the blacks and gays can take their jobs is just another reason to put a stop to all hate crime bills and stop all imigration legal or illegal if a white person said some that stupid or racist the media would want you tarred and feathered but tell a lie enuf times you start to belive it your self we don,t have to worry about obama bankrupting us the illegal have allready done that as obama said you need to learn spanish but i say their are still more of us dumb white people then their are uneducated mexicans and we are going to kick the left wing liberals like pelosie and reid and rangel and obama out of office and put true americans in that have eyes to see and ears to hear what the american people are saying STOP THIS INSANITY WE DON,T WANT OVER POPULATION WE DON,T WANT OR NEED THE GOVERMENT TELLING USE WHAT WE NEED AND IS GOOD FOR US///NO AMNESTY//ARREST AND DEPORT ALL ILLEGALS AND SEND THEIR CHILDREN WITH THEM

      • jomama

        Yeah.

      • Jane Doe

        “obama said you need to learn spanish”…

        The day “THAT happens is the day I recycle, take up “Politically Correct,” approve of Gay marriage (or gays in GENERAL), voluntarily give up arms, and RECYCLE!

        What SHOULD happen (but which would be too painfully OBVIOUS and SENSIBLE) is for the MEXICANS to learn ENGLISH…or be deported. Period. Why should WE learn THEIR language in our own COUNTRY? I’ll bet Mexico isnt Politically Correct and encourages their Mexicans learning ENGLISH!!!!

    • Patom

      I really agree with you, but is it not the law that all babies born in the country are automatically citizens? That is one law the must be changed to: the baby takes the citizenship of the mother regardless of other factors. ALL illegals need to be sent home and not given a year to ‘hide’.

      • Palin12

        Yes, unfortuneatly it is a law these babies (of illegal immigrants) born in the US are automatically given US citizenship. The law dates back to Civil War times when there was a concern that the children of foreign born former slaves should be given US citizenship. It’s an antiquated law that needs to be changed.

        • sbaker

          Palin , people often believe that the 14th admendment ( after civil war) made all persons born here a automatic citizen. What the 14th admendment says is that if you are born here AND subject to the jurdiction thereof you are a citizen. In the 1800′s The phrase SUBJECT TO THE JURSIDICTION THEREOF refers to the allegience of your parents. So if you are born here to parents who are citizens , then you are automatically a citizen. In the 1980′s the goverment decided to grant citizenship to the children of illegals because INS said it was to expensive to deport them. This is a policy , not a law. It can be reversed at any time by Congress because it has no Constitutional standing.

          • Jane Doe

            Well it would be cheaper to deport them than RAISE all 10 of their family! Not to mention future generations of those families!

      • Jane Doe

        Amen! If you give ‘em an INCH, they’ll take a MILE! So, the way to stop immigration is to pull them to the side in public and DEMAND TO SEE THEIR GREEN CARD. If not presented….oh guess WHAT? DEPORTED!

        NO SPECIAL PROVISIONS OR LAWS FOR THEM! Theyre not welcome here! GO HOME TO YOUR OWN COUNTRY…WE HAVE ENOUGH OF OUR OWN PEOPLE!

    • Jane Doe

      Youre MY kind of guy! :) Sounds like a true Libertarian (such as I myself am!) ROCK ON DUDE!

      • Jane Doe

        My above comment meant for “MrCharley” :)

  • Warrior

    Maybe Heritage could perform a financial analyis of using boarder patrols vs. paying bounty hunters $500 per. The gov claims it costs over $15k each to deport illegals. This is the dems angle on just giving amnesty because it’s just so expensive to detain and deport. Oh yea and the little bonus they receive because they’ll become good little dems and help keep us in control. What a marvelous plan.

    • William Nealey

      the only reason it is so expensive to deport them is because the dems make sure their lawyer friends and cohorts make a fortune fighting for them,it’s very simple when they are caught the first time take them to a check point and enter them into the data base send them through to mexco and the next time they are caught put them in Joe Arpaio’s tent city prison for one year, each time thereafter double the term in Joes tent city,

  • jomama

    We’re all screwed!!

    • Richard Pawley

      Not quite Jomama. We ARE headed for worse times than this country has ever seen, the War Between the States included, but it does not have to be that bad for you as an individual (Yes, the Collectivists and Progressives in Washington want to eliminate all individualism and that is why they have been rewriting the history books for years, especially the school books, and are trying to force socialism upon us – in their great God-like wisdom (in their own minds) they think they know what is best for everyone else BUT we have the right to vote and come August the LAST GREAT GATHERING OF PEOPLE allowed in Washington, DC, will take place, followed by November’s election, and we have a chance to slow down the destruction of our great country. If that doesn’t repair the rudder and direction of our nation then our ship of state will surely succumb to the powers of greed and avarice that pervades Congress and those who control them. Still in my latest book I write about what you as an individual can do to prepare yourself and your family for the coming crisis which is less than 20% unfolded so far. Learn all you can. There is not much time. Somewhere in the Bible it says to seek wisdom and you will find it. The forces of darkness wish to destroy the good that is still here in the American people and most of all to destroy the faith of those who believe in the God of our founding fathers, replacing Him with the false gods of this age. God is not amused by their egos and He still listens to all who have the faith to pray and continue to do so until something changes. The way for believers to pray is for “God’s will to be done” for as scripture says “all good comes from God” hence the reduction of our freedoms and the destruction of our dollar or our way of life, have a different source entirely. Wonderful books, like GOD CALLING and PRISON TO PRAISE exist that explain the power of prayer and God still listens to the sincere prayers of those who seek Him, regardless of creed or denomination. There is hope but it must not be placed in the hands of those who care only for themselves and their ideas of what is best for everybody else. E PLURISUS UNUM and IN GOD WE TRUST may not be politically correct these days but they are still true! May God bless America; no one else is going to do so.

  • SonnyM

    I can’t vote for anyone who is for amnesty for 12 or more million illegal aliens. The government said it would cost approximately $94 billion dollars to deport all illegal aliens, we spend $90 billion dollars per year on illegal aliens plus $100 billion dollars per year on health care fraud, where is the downside to this? I say deport them and save money. Illegal aliens are holding down jobs Americans need. It is said illegals do work Americans won’t do, if you set a time limit on drawing welfare while giving job training to them and stop the welfare checks on able bodied people they will work or go hungary. We have carried a lot of welfare abusers on taxpayer money long enough, it’s time to stop.

    • Joe H.

      SonnyM,
      I have seen where it’s more like 30 million!!!

    • s c

      When the retards in Washington whiz and moan about the high cost of deporting illegals, they’re trying to have it both ways at the same time. They’re doing their worst to buy votes and somehow look like ‘leaders’ who are ‘doing their job’ at the same time.
      You and I and most conservatives know what they are. Those bimbos are overpaid government employees who think they work for themselves. They think they are above the law.
      There are several cures for this syndrome. The one that’s easiest and gets results the fastest is very simple. SonnyM, NO CONSECUTIVE TERMS FOR ANYONE.

    • Jane Doe

      “We have carried a lot of welfare abusers on taxpayer money long enough, it’s time to stop.”

      Well said! I couldnt agree MORE. “Minorities” are bankrupting the country while milking the Govt. for welfare benefits!!!! There should ABSOLUTELY be a time limit on welfare. But instead, minorities teach their SPAWNS how to work the system when THEY get old enough. And so on and so on.

  • eddie47d

    S.C.; Obama (prez) did not form the immigration policies of America. Almost all immigrants,(the millions you are talking about) came to America during the Reagan,Bush,Clinton and the early G. Bush era. Your ridiculous obsession with liberals borders on insane. It was conservative business ,conservative farmers,conservative homebuilderes and all the other un-American conservatives. You can thank them for all this cheap labor and mass immigration. They demanded it;got what they wanted and still sent American jobs overseas. Reap what you sow and quit blameing liberals for what the Republicans turned a blind eye to. Reagan and both Bush’s supported amnesty so there is not one once of factual information in your letters. If any of you don’t want your roof done by an immigrant then get your sorry azzes up there and do it youself. Put the blame where it belongs.

    • Joe H.

      No eddie I hire an American crew and an American company!!!!

    • s c

      Eddie47d, I have a question for you. What’s the name of that senator from Massachusets who SUPPOSEDLY worked on immigration reform for 35+ years and accomplished NOTHING in the process?
      He’s the same guy who CREATED HMOs. Late into his ‘career,’ he was the guy who said he hated HMOs (interesting, eh?). And then, to add insult to injury, this character tried to rush Obummer’s healthcare crap into existence because he was terminally ill.
      If you want to play the blame game, bring it on!

      If you haven’t figure it out yet, the guy’s initials are TK.

      • eyeswideopen

        S.c. Let me give you the name of the last President who granted amnesty to 3.1 million. Reagan, was his name.

  • ABinGA

    I know this is off the subject but repeal NAFTA or tax the corporations sending jobs to other countries so it cost as much if not more to have their product made. It’s not only under this administration that we have lost jobs but this administration is preaching job creation. Go figure. You preach job creation but you still allow good paying jobs to be moved south of the border. Before you even think about it, I do not work for union shop and if I can help it I never will. The company I work for is based in the mid west and is union but opened a shop in the south due to the lower wages they could pay but for the south the wages are extremely good. Now they’ve decided to close our shop, put 600 out of work and move farther south due to cost savings. You got it. Mexico. The union guys in the Mid west better watch out because all options are on the table. They could be next. Union or not, we need to keep the manufacturing jobs here in the states. If not, it’ll be the ruin of the USA.

    • DaveH

      Your suggestions ABin are just treating the symptoms. Our Companies have been fleeing America because they can’t compete against Foreign producers with the high cost of American Labor especially Unions and the high cost of Government Regulations.
      And the American consumers, thanks to the high cost (taxes) of Big Government, can’t afford to buy American when the foreign products are much cheaper and of better quality usually.
      We could embrace Protectionism, but that has the same effect on Companies as Welfare has on Individuals. It also was one of the major causations of the Great Depression.

      We need to shrink the size of Government dramatically, and the only Party I know that has the stomach for that is the Libertarian Party:
      http://libertarianparty.org/platform

      • Harold

        The foreign producers are hired by American companies, and it isn’t always the high taxes in America. It is also the high profits. When a pair of running shoes made for $2.00 in Viet Nam sell for $100.00 here, that ain’t taxes that makes up obscene gap between production costs and final sale price.

        There are countries in the world where there are no taxes or next to none. Try living there for awhile. Unless you’re one of the 1% of the population in the elite category, life ain’t very pleasant. Want to trade places with some of the folks in Haiti?

        Government wasn’t very large prior to and during the Great Depression, and it still happened. The real reasons for the Great Depression are many and complex but not dissimilar from what were some of the causes of the recent melt down: deregulation and a lack of oversite in the marketplace. Libertarian ideology and policies would not resolve the problems; it would make them worse.

  • dazed&confuzd

    This is one of the reasons I buy more ammo with every spare nickel I get!!!

  • ABinGA

    dazed&confuzd is doing the right thing. It’s only taking more more nickels now days.

    • s c

      ABinGA, NAFTA is not ‘off-the-table.’ It’s a good example of what to expect when people have a rogue government. Congress has tried its worst to distance itself from its role in creating and monitoring NAFTA and other trade disasters.
      For Congress to absolve itslf is like a president saying ‘I don’t have any influence here. I just work here.’ BULL PUCKEY!
      Anyone (and I mean ANYONE) who is responsible for sending jobs overseas is a candidate for a firing squad or a lynching. Politicians take care of themselves first (rangel-style), and they tend to get away with it.
      Take a hard look at people like pelosi (YUK!). Look at clinton (either one), gore, reid, kennedy, biden, waxman, dodd, leahy, rangel (barf!), schumer, specter and many others. How can ANYONE say or imply that these useful idiots have protected America? Yes, the other side of the aisle has many useful idiots, too.
      We need LEADERS. Useful idiots and aaron burr wannabes are as easy to find as ants at a picnic (and not nearly as valuable).
      A grade school kid has more common sense than most people in Washington (that includes the White House geeks). My neighbor’s dog has more loyalty. People who used to live in the USSR know what’s coming to America.
      I want my country back. We owe it to ourselves to do whatever has to be done to get and keep the attention of our self-made retards in Washington. This is NOT Utopia, and it was never intended to be
      a country club for CAREER CRIMINALS who masquerade as “leaders.”

  • Jerry

    Unless the Latinos want the US to become worse than Mexico they will reject Obamas policies.

  • Harold

    Seems to me George W. gave illegals amnesty at one point. Given the attitude of many Republicans towards legal immigrants let alone illegals, why would immigrants park their support with Republicans?

    • Joe H.

      Harold,
      correction, Bush tried to give them amnesty. We beat that by making things hot for anyone in Washington by using the power of making their jobs endangered species!!!

  • Jerry

    To Harold:
    Because the progressives (Both Democrat and Rebulican) are going to enslave them, along with the rest of us.
    By the way, if we need Latinos to do our work (though I’d like one of those jobs right now) we should provice a legal way to enter the country – if we need them, it’s shamful we make them sneak into the country accross the river or over the fence.

  • Cel

    How many people out there know how illegal aliens get “entitlements”?

    How many out there know the amount of money spent on entitlements for illegals?

    These are things that you all should know and should talk with your Senators about.

    **

  • Jerry

    To Cel:

    A lot of these programs they can not even ask if they are illegal or not.

    I doubt anyone knows the total amount spent on them. I can not blame them – the Mexican govenment has to step up and promote more capitalism, and less fudelism. The only ‘capitalism’ is in the drug trade, and they seem to be thriving, if not killed off – That’s why we need law and order, but only for things like drugs and other immoral activities.

    I’m on the backends of all my representitives about these and other things. I agree that we need a lot more people to do this.

    You know, we’ve let things slide for two hundred years because we’ve had the constitution protecting us, and we were busy building the greatest country in the world – BUT we need to spend a little time protecting our rights, It wouldn’t have to be too much, but now we’ve let it go for so long we have to really come down hard.

    • Joe H.

      Jerry,
      While you don’t blame them I do!! If they want to come here, let them do it the legal way a damn big number of their countrymen have!!! If not, drop kick their azzes back accross the border!!!!

  • magyart

    Bush, McCain & Kennedy PUSHED for CIR. The Latinos were so grateful they overwhelmingly voted for Obama ?

    Bush is history, Kennedy is dead and McCain will lose his job due to support of CIR.

    If Bush and McCain couldn’t get it done, I don’t see how Obama can. Look how difficult healthcare reform has been. It’s not that he doesn’t want CIR, it’s that the majority of voters OPPOSE CIR.

  • Merl Elton

    Immigrants that arrive here will multiply exponentially because many have more children than most people; do not practice birth control or self control in terms of their sexuality; and they also bring their extended families. In some parks, playgrounds, and other public places even in broad daylight, you can see overt sexual displays in front of young children. I saw an immigrant couple in a playground the other day going at it so enthusiastically that I wanted to shout: Get a Room! In many communities local parks are filled with raucous partying immigrants at all hours; and when the economy downturns; thousands of homeless immigrants become alcoholics and druggies; and a danger and nuisance to local communities. For these reasons the government needs border control; and to restrict the number of immigrants coming in based on the number of jobs available. The law of natural citizenship needs to be overturned or rendered null in regards to immigrants because it encourages rapid overpopulation of needy underclasses who will not pay their bills or enough taxes. The pols want the easy votes; so they won’t regulate. However, since US citizens get stuck with the bills for bad policies, they have the right to complain. States also need to establish quotas based on job availablity also. Sancutary states should be outlawed. The government is protecting these lawbreakers and abusers for votes and knowing Americans will pay in taxes. We should refuse. If not the US will go bankrupt just like California.

  • Cohen

    The GOP has become the party of angry old white Southern racist males who blame their failures in life on others. In a country in which whites will be under 50% of the population in 30 years or so, this is a losing platform. In all honesty, the world will be a better place without mistakes of nature such as Senators Sessions (Alabama), DeMint (S. Carolina), Vitter (Louisiana, the one w/ the prostitutes). Tick, tock, GOP; tick tock!!!

  • http://Checkout Connie

    It would seem that there are twice as many legal citizens in America who would welcome this new law in AZ and would then vote for the any politicians who sponsored it (or backed it)as there are Mexicans who will vote against those persons. We are tired of hearing about people breaking the law to come here and then causing trouble and taking the jobs that American teenagers used to take in the service industry or adult Americans who cannot find other work. Do we reward lawbreakers by giving them citizenship?

  • Jessie

    alot of people use the excuse “how much would it cost to deport all of them” I love the figure of the ammount of illegals in the US, 11-12 mill? more like 25-30 mill. All the government would have to do (if they actually cared about America, is make it illegal for businesses to hire and landlords to rent, lease or sell to them, have a few raids and they would leave on their own. it would come no where near the cost that they say it would. The illegals and the politicians advocating immigration reform are bankrupting and destroying this great nation, and they are doing it for their own selfish reasoning of buying votes. How mny trillions of dollars are they costing the states right now? How would the figure compare with the cost of setting up and actually enforcing our laws that we have now. How many illegals are working while good Americans can’t find a job. We have a legislative branch and executive branch that love their vacations while good Americans are losing their homes and families are going hungry. Kind of reminds me of Marie Antoinettes famous saying of “let them eat cake” and we remember what happened to her

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