Gold: Christmas Past And Present

Gold prices have been undergoing a minor correction the past couple of months. I believe it is a healthy correction with higher prices for gold to come in the new year. However, I appreciate that very few people can take advantage of rising gold prices. Bullion has gotten too expensive and doesn’t have the upside it had a few short years ago.

One thing is certain: When it comes to gold and this Christmas, it is far different from Christmas 1979. During the closing days of that year, the gold bubble was about to burst. Over the next 20 years, gold lost 80 percent of its real value (accounting for inflation).

Of course, nobody thought gold was set to correct during the days leading up to Christmas in 1979.

I was lucky to get a firsthand look at the frenzy that was going on. I was a senior at the University of Calgary, and I was visiting my parents in Spokane, Wash., where my dad was publishing his newsletter.

The hub for it all was on the fourth floor of the Peyton Building, one floor above my dad’s office. The Spokane Stock Exchange consisted of one large room that had a blackboard on which an elderly man busily scribbled prices as brokers and a handful of private investors shouted out their bids.

The frenzy went on throughout the week before Christmas and became so intense that it was reported nationally on the CBS Evening News on Christmas Eve. That alone should have been a sure sign that gold and silver prices were close to a blowout. Yet I doubt one in 20 gold speculators — including my father, who was one of the three original gold bugs — saw it coming. (However, my dad, C.V. Myers, got his subscribers out of gold over the next year at an average price of $650 per ounce.)

I know that some of you are concerned that gold may have hit its high. Bullion prices are down nearly $300 per ounce from the all-time highs it set earlier this year. Yet the fundamentals indicate to me an even weaker U.S. dollar and higher prices for precious metals.

Consider today’s price of bullion of roughly $1,700 per ounce. That is twice the price of bullion right before the bubble burst. However, if you factor in the depreciation of the dollar over the past 32 years, you will discover that is not actually the case. For gold to eclipse its 1980 high, it would have to trade above $2,500 per ounce.

Another measure to determine gold’s relative value can be made by comparing gold to the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Gold is overvalued when it takes only one ounce to buy the DJIA. For instance, when the stock market bottomed out during the Great Depression, one ounce of gold at $35 per ounce bought a single share in DJIA. That relationship happened again in 1980 when an ounce of gold was $850 and the DJIA was under 800. By 1999, it took 40 ounces of gold to buy a single share in the Dow. And while today it takes seven ounces to buy a share of the Dow, bullion is seven times cheaper relative to the stock market than it was in the days that followed Christmas 1979.

The most powerful argument that the gold bull lives is the relative amount of bullion in the world compared to the number of U.S. dollars. The gold price boom three decades ago resulted in steadily increasing global production from 1200 tonnes annually to a peak of above 2600 tonnes in 1999. Production has declined slightly from this level to a large extent because the richest veins in the world, notably in South Africa, have been depleted. Since 1999, the world’s above-ground supply of gold has increased by about 2 percent per year. Thus, there is only 22 percent more gold in the world than there was 10 years ago.

Consider the huge quantities of U.S. dollars. As the graph below shows, since Christmas 1979, a standard measure of the amount of dollars — M2 — has increased eightfold.

M2 Money StockM2 has risen from $1.5 trillion in December 1979 to $9.7 trillion in December 2011. As you can see, the increase has been most pronounced since 2001, doubling in just 10 years. This was Washington’s reaction to 9/11 as well as the massive wave of fiat money created following the Crash of 2008.

The Fed Is Gold’s Best Friend

Gold investors can also count on the Federal Reserve. In 1979, under the new leadership of Chairman Paul Volcker, the Fed mandate was to protect the integrity of the U.S. dollar. Times certainly have changed. Under Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, the Fed demonstrated repeatedly that it is more of a political tool than a central bank — at the ready to finance foreign wars and bail out big banks, major investment houses and even a couple of automobile manufacturers.

The Fed has been cutting interest rates in the midst of the worst dollar bear market ever. This would have seemed incomprehensible to Volcker and the Administration of President Jimmy Carter. In fact, Volcker helped kill the 1970s commodity bull by piling on higher and higher interest rates.

But today, America is inundated with debt. The United States has a debt load of nearly $50 trillion, or eight times more than our gross domestic product. And get this: More than 80 percent of this debt has been created since 1980.

Household sector debt, a large component of which is mortgage debt, now totals about $13 trillion. That comes to more than $42,000 per American.

Bullion Needs A Stock Split

The economy is looking sick and likely to get even weaker. That is good news if you already own gold. But gold has a very serious problem. It has become too expensive for all but the wealthy to invest in.

I started buying gold more than 40 years ago, and I have been writing about it for more than 30 years. I have yet to find a better leading indicator for America and the dollar.

A week ago, I contacted an old friend who is a reputable coin dealer. The spot price on gold that day was $1,660 per ounce. To buy an American Eagle cost the spot price plus $70, or $1,730.  If you were to sell that American Eagle back to that same dealer, you will receive the spot price, so you are paying a considerable commission.

With gold at around $1,700, it lacks the leverage it packed just three short years ago when it was under $800 per ounce.

I no longer recommend gold. I suggest investors hold the gold that they own, because I do think it will go somewhat higher.

As a practical alternative, I think silver is a good choice. Silver does not offer the protection gold does if the economy falls into a deflationary collapse, but I don’t believe that is going to happen.

If I am correct about how bad things will become, water, guns and ammo will be of much more use than gold, silver or platinum.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers Energy and Gold Report

Dickens Must Be Spinning In His Grave

My two Christmas wishes are that Santa were real and money could be created out of thin air. The media tell me they can come true; I just have to believe in the President.

They warn of a dastardly Scrooge promoted by the Tea Party ruse. But if Barack Obama has his way, we will be stuck with him for another 1,800 days.

To see his dream come true, Obama Claus is working day and night to drive away economic blues. To explain better I borrowed a classic verse, knowing full well you may think my version much worse.

The unemployed were nestled all snug in their beds,
While visions of government checks danced in their heads.
And mamma in her ’kerchief, and I in my cap,
Had just settled our brains for a long winter’s nap.

I rubbed my glasses and peered through the lens,
Only to see a miniature sleigh, and eight tiny Dems,
with the tall sprightly driver, so lively and merry,
I knew in a moment it must be St. Barry.

More rapid than eagles his coursers they came,
And he whistled, and shouted, and called them by name:
“Now, Brown! Now, Cardin! Now, Leahy and Levin!
“On, Mikulski! On, Reid! On, Frank and Pelosi!

“To the top of the porch! To the top of the wall!
“Now dash away! Dash away! Dash away all!”
As dry leaves that before the wild hurricane fly,
When they meet with an obstacle, mount to the sky;
Propelled by fresh money, the coursers they flew.

And then, in a twinkling, I heard on the roof
The prancing and pawing of each little goof.
As I drew in my head, and was turning around,
Down the chimney St. Barry came with a bound.

He spoke not a word, but went straight to his work,
Only after pumping out money did he turn with a jerk.
And laying his finger aside of his nose,
And giving a nod, up the chimney he rose!

He sprang to his sleigh, to his friends gave a whistle,
And away they all flew like the down of a thistle.
But I heard him exclaim, ere he drove out of sight,
“Vote for me next fall, and to all a good-night!”

The Left’s Spin On Dickens

Another Christmas classic was written by Charles Dickens, who was wealthy and renowned when he rushed A Christmas Carol into print in December 1843. The book changed the way the world thought about Christmas. In the 19th century, Christmas was not celebrated to the extent it is today.

The book was immediately popular and it is perhaps the most famous work of literature associated with Christmas. Dickens wrote the story as a condemnation of greed.  Through Scrooge, he wanted to convey an optimistic message that individuals could change and show charity to those less fortunate. The key word is “individuals.” A century and a half ago, the government had no role in taking care of people. Of course, popular culture and the growth of Liberal ideals have changed that.

Take Disney’s animated 3-D incarnation of A Christmas Carol, released during the holidays in 2009.

According to Big Hollywood Blog, Scrooge does not care about the fate of the poor, but he thinks government has a role.

Of course, charity and welfare are different, points out Jonah Goldberg of The National Review. With charity there is freedom of the individual to choose, to weigh the merits of giving and to give to those who will use the help to better themselves.

With welfare there is only government spending taxpayer money indiscriminately, often to the detriment of those who receive funds. Most important is the lack of choice. We all have to pay those who will not pay their own way. It is an entitlement philosophy. Taken to its extreme, it was the dream of another 19th century writer: Karl Marx.

This Christmas more so than on many in the past, we need to be reminded that Hollywood is free to interpret A Christmas Carol or anything else any way that suits its agenda.

Had Marx gotten his way, Hollywood wouldn’t exist and, most likely, Dickens’ great book would be banned. When we consider these truths, do we really want our government to play Santa Claus?

I urge you to have some charity in your heart. I also urge you to oppose the Obama Administration and its plans to spend your money in ways that he and those in his Liberal stable believe are sensible.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers Energy & Gold Report

Is Obama An Agent For OPEC?

We are staring into the face of $180-per-barrel oil. Under President Barack Obama, the Nation is not producing enough oil and is importing far too much of it from potential enemies. This is a reckless game engineered by the President, because oil is America’s economic lifeblood.

It recently become apparent that Obama either does not understand the danger the country is facing or, worse, is willing to ignore it because he has conspired with Arab oil exporters to give them dictatorial powers over America’s energy needs and economic future.

The United States is critically dependent on imported oil, consuming almost 10 million barrels of foreign crude every day. That is about three times more oil than the United States imported 25 years ago. With Obama’s restrictions on further oil exploration, especially offshore, the United States may import 18 million barrels per day by 2020.

Gang Green

“Gangrene” is a medical term used to describe the death of one part of the body. It happens when the blood supply is cut off to the affected area.

I witnessed gangrene overtake my dad’s legs after he underwent surgery on a bulging abdominal aorta at the Loma Linda University Medical Center many years ago.

I never studied medicine, but I have spent my lifetime studying economics. It isn’t a stretch to use the analogy that petroleum is the lifeblood to the U.S. economy.

Keystone Kops Or An Agent For Saudi Arabia?

Petroleum is essential for the United States. With so many hostile governments selling it to us, it would be easy to think that Canada would be America’s energy oasis. The two countries haven’t had so much as a skirmish in 200 years, and more than any other nation, Canada has stood shoulder to shoulder with the United States. So close are the two peoples that I can’t tell the difference between being in Montana or Alberta.

Both Nations have Judeo-Christian values and common law borne from the Magna Carta. American and Canadian men fought and died together during the two world wars.

On the surface it seems like a pretty simple equation:  Canada has 180 billion barrels of reserves, second only to Saudi Arabia, the kingpin petroleum producer and de facto leader of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

Canada has a democratically elected parliament. The House of Saud is a desert fiefdom run by a few dozen billionaire princes. Whereas Canada has combat troops stationed in Afghanistan killing Muslim militants, Saudi Arabia provides tens of millions of dollars to Islamic terrorists bent on killing Westerners.

Beyond this, Canada has been a rock-solid energy supplier to the United States. In fact, thousands of Americans work in the Canadian petroleum industry, and there are hundreds of U.S. corporations that have a large stake in further developing Canadian petroleum. Scores of Canadian corporations are traded on the New York Stock Exchange. Conversely, Saudi Arabia has nationalized its oil properties, and it implemented two oil embargoes against the United States in the 1970s.

It only makes sense that the United States would sign on to buy more Canadian crude. But with Obama, common sense is not at all common.

TransCanada Corporation is seeking Presidential authorization to build its $7.5 billion Keystone XL pipeline. The line would transport tar sands crude oil from Alberta through Montana, South Dakota and Nebraska on its way to refineries on the Gulf Coast.

A number of groups, comprised mostly of environmentalists and liberals, have banded together to oppose its construction. Obama is leading the crusade against Canadian crude.

The President said last month: “Because this permit decision could affect the health and safety of the American people as well as the environment, and because a number of concerns have been raised through a public process, we should take the time to ensure that all questions are properly addressed and all the potential impacts are properly understood.”

The President doesn’t seem concerned that 1,661-mile pipeline would deliver 700,000 barrels per day of crude from the oil sands to the United States.

The Hawaii Reporter recently ran this headline on an opinion piece: “Obama’s Catastrophic Pipeline Copout.”

David H. Wilkins, U.S. ambassador to Canada from 2005-2009, wrote:

The proposed Keystone XL Pipeline offers nothing but promise: tens of thousands of desperately needed jobs, and a big step toward ensuring North American energy security. But in mid-November, promise gave way to politics when President Obama punted on the pipeline permitting decision, delaying it until after the 2012 election. The Wall Street Journal called the decision a “Keystone Cop-Out.”

I call it a catastrophic cop-out, one with certain economic and diplomatic consequences. The decision on the KXL permit was expected before the end of this year and elected officials in both Canada and the United States rightly called it a “no-brainer.”

The project would reduce dependency on petroleum from the Middle East, a region that is rife with civil war. And what of the economic recovery that Obama promised three years ago? You would have to have been in a coma to see that things are no better and that, overall, the U.S. economy might be in worse shape than when he took office.

This gets me back to why the United States should be begging to sign this pipeline deal. It is estimated that the project would create a minimum of 20,000 well-paying U.S. jobs. That economic bonus would span far beyond all those families that could again have a wage earner and would spill over to every part of the economy, from Wal-Mart to mom-and-pop shops.

In fact, the pipeline deal will add more than $20 billion to the U.S. economy. An extra $5.2 billion in State property taxes would be collected.

Crude Consequences

The United States will have to deal with the consequences of turning its back on Canadian crude. First and foremost, Ottawa is building closer trade ties with Beijing with a great deal of emphasis on a possible blueprint that would deliver Alberta’s oil sands to the West Coast, where it could be delivered via tankers.

Last month, Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper met with Chinese President Hu Jintao about future Canadian oil exports to China.

Harper said: “This does underscore the necessity of Canada making sure that we are able to access Asia markets for our energy products.”

Canada is counting on China to be a key investor in Alberta’s oil sands projects and a big buyer of crude which would flow through a proposed Northern Gateway Pipeline if Canada encounters further opposition from the Obama Administration. This will make the United States all the more dependent on Arab oil. You would think Obama would understand this. The truth might be that he understands it all too well.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers’ Energy & Gold Report

Bury Your Treasure

Even at these prices, I like physical gold as an investment. I prefer bullion to gold stocks. Everyone who has ever owned an ounce of gold wonders how to store it safely. I have experienced a search for missing gold; it was a nightmare.

It happened at my dad’s home in Spokane, Wash.

“Boys,” shouted the old man. “I need you in here.”

It was autumn 1979. My brother, Brian, and I had flown in only hours earlier to be with our dad. It was a Friday, and Dad was pleased as punch about our visit and the fishing trip we had planned the next day.

“Let’s have a nice cup of coffee,” said the old man. He often said that.

After he poured three cups, we sat at the kitchen table. The kitchen was always the meeting point for important Myers gatherings or even entertainment. Living rooms were something left for city folk.

“Boys, we need to do something.”

Brian and I shared a look. Dad always said we, which meant us not him.

He said he needed us to dig up some of his secure “assets.”

Brian and I both knew that secure meant buried, and that buried meant gold, silver or cash. On that particular night, it meant all three. The old man often dug deep when it came to putting away such things.

Brian and I had been on such digs before. They could be a pain, but they were always exciting.

“Down there by the garden,” Dad said, pointing to part of the property. “I need you two to go down and fetch something. I have about 300 ounces of gold, 2,000 ounces of silver and some cash.”

Some cash certainly meant a lot of money.

“I want you to go down there and dig it up and fetch it back.”

We knew we were in for some work, and the day’s light had faded. We had a job to do, and Brian knew how we could get it done.

As Dad continued to drink his coffee, Brian gave me my instructions: Get a shovel and a flashlight.

We got to the spot and began digging.

It was a moonless night. We each took turns with the shovel while the other held the light. Soon, our hole grew deeper and wider. Then, we hit pay dirt.

Brian’s shovel hit something, so we both fell to our knees to retrieve a multi-gallon container filled with silver.

Brian motioned to me and said, “We’re not done yet.”

We returned to our pit, dug some more and found a set of plastic lunch boxes. Inside them were Thermos™ containers stuffed with $1,000 bills (this was back when $1,000 bills were in circulation).

“Just the gold to get now,” encouraged Brian.

We were in the country, but there were houses nearby. Beside us was a lot of silver and money.

I told Brian I had read that a guy in New York was killed over $20.

“Oh, I know,” said Brian, his brown eyes expressing both our fears.

We both began to dig furiously.

It felt like we were being swallowed up. We were waist-deep when we struck a large rock.

Brian knelt down and began to tug on the boulder. I scrunched in tight beside him. Out of nowhere came one word: “Well?”

I jumped up, my arms swinging as I desperately tried to see what evil had crept up behind us.

I struck something hard with my elbow. It was my brother.

“Ahh,” moaned Brian pulling his hands toward his face.

“It’s just me,” Dad announced. “I just wanted to see if you boys needed anything.” Then, he told us to climb out of the ditch, and he scanned the hole in the ground with the flashlight. The gold was missing.

Over coffee we talked about how our hole could be so big and deep and still no gold to be found. Dad decided that the morning sun would shed some light on where he may have put it.

The next morning, he remembered that he had buried the gold in another spot. (My father had been accumulating gold coins in Canada since the 1960s. Under Canadian law, they were legal to own.)

I tell you this story because I know some of you wonder exactly where it is safe to store physical gold. Make no mistake: If things get as bad as I think they might, you will want physical gold. I don’t have faith in putting it in a bank safety deposit box.

Most of you probably don’t live in the country, so I recommend a really good safe. A word to the wise, don’t tell anyone about the safe or the gold. The second worst thing that can happen is to have thugs show up with guns and force you to open your safe. The worst thing would be for them not to leave any witnesses.

If you bury assets, make sure you keep them in something that is airtight and watertight.

Also, put aside a coded map somewhere and tell the person you trust the most in the world where you keep it in case something happens to you. There’s no need to tell him or anybody else what is buried there. All he needs to know is that you have something important and that it will be necessary to dig it up and distribute it to the people you love.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers Energy & Gold Report

No Recovery In Sight

You don’t have to be a news buff to have heard about the deadbeat protesters that are occupying cities in North America and Europe. I have seen lots of coverage but little insight. What I have noticed in big Canadian cities is that the protesters are angry without cause.

Canada is in the midst of an economic recovery. The unemployment rate is slightly above 7 percent, and the Canadian dollar is up 25 percent against the greenback in just the past 2.5 years. While people rage against spending cuts in nations like Greece, there isn’t a hint that Canadians will have to endure any reduction in government benefits. In other words, Canadians have never had it so good; yet they, too, are angry enough to take to the streets.

Canadians recently demonstrated that they don’t need a good reason to riot. Hundreds of people tried to burn downtown Vancouver last June because their hockey team lost the Stanley Cup. Those riots tell me that there is more to this growing global unrest than just a bunch of anarchists and addicts, even though two of the protesters in Vancouver have overdosed on heroin during the crusade. Nobody would confuse those two with a Leon Trotsky or Maximilien Robespierre.

Article continues below…

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I am not going to concern myself with the cause of the unrest in Canada or anywhere else. Long after the Russian and French revolutions, historians cannot agree on what caused them. What concerns me and what you need to protect yourself from are civil unrest and the response by our government.

When Revolutions Spin Out Of Control

It is worth remembering that the French Revolution started slowly but quickly gathered steam. What began with concessions from Louis XVI sparked the Liberté, which morphed into Robespierre and his Reign of Terror. At one point, more than 1,000 French people were guillotined every month. Robespierre lost his head before it ended.

The bloodshed during the Russian Revolution was far worse. It is estimated that 5 million to 10 million people were killed during that revolt. To that total, add more than 40 million Soviets who died at the hands of the resulting dictator, Joseph Stalin.

Obama’s Blame Game

I understand there is a lot of anger in America. I, too, am an American citizen and I am angry. However, I don’t blame big corporations or big banks for this worsening crisis. I lay it where it belongs, squarely on the shoulders of the Federal government.

The Administration of President Bill Clinton was eager to do away with financial regulations. The Administration of President George W. Bush wanted everyone to own a home, whether he could afford it or not. And when it all blew apart three years ago, the Federal government forced U.S. investment banks to accept $125 billion in taxpayer money. (I urge you to read the bestseller by Andrew Sorkin, Too Big to Fail.)

It began in the summer of 2008. When the markets began to crash, the Chinese and Russians threatened to sell their $1 trillion in U.S. assets. Then-Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson held the system together until American International Group Inc. began to fail. AIG had never been regulated. Why? In the words of Paulson, the former chairman and CEO of Goldman Sachs Group Inc.: “Because everyone was too busy making money.”

And So Now We Fall

Washington’s turning a blind eye to regulating investment banks precipitated this crisis. Since they were let off the hook, the investment banks did what they are dictated to do under a free market system; they made as much money for their shareholders as they could.

When it all broke down in September of 2008, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Paulson took the extraordinary measure of getting the Federal government to inject the largest bailout ever organized. But Washington’s malfeasance didn’t stop there.

Congress’ first vote for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) failed. Paulson forced the nine largest U.S. investment banks to accept the bailout. Even banks that didn’t want Washington’s ownership or participation were forced to swallow it.

The dominoes paused. Even though the stock market declined another 37 percent, the injection of money and the nationalization of the banks stopped an economic collapse.

It will prove to be a temporary solution. It is still tough to borrow money. Unemployment in the United States is still close to 10 percent, and the recovery Obama promised seems farther away than ever.

This is why there is anger in the streets. This is why there will be blood in the streets. And what exactly is Obama doing to clamp down on the unrest? He is complicit with the reactionaries in blaming Wall Street.

Obama has failed to accept his role in the ongoing collapse, even though he helped panic the markets in 2008 when he warned that the banking crisis could cause a financial panic.

The President has promised a recovery, but it is a mirage. He understands that, and his chances for re-election depend on his ability to deflect blame onto corporate America. He is willing to incite class warfare, regardless of the consequences.

The dominoes that began falling more than three years ago continue to tumble today. In 2008, the big banks were falling one after the other. Now, individual nations and even communities are set to tumble.

I urge you to take the proper steps, to be the “1 percent” who prepare for the whirlwind that is coming. Consider Sun Tzu’s words in The Art of War:

“Therefore one who is good at martial arts overcomes others’ forces without battle, conquers others’ cities without siege, destroys others’ without taking a long time.”

It’s called “strategic siege.” It is a long-range strategy to achieve one’s goals. Even as you read this, it is being practiced against you. It wasn’t engineered by fat cat bankers. They are the fall guys. It is being orchestrated by our President and by the very Congress that has falsely sworn to protect us.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers Energy & Gold Report

Obama Can’t Tell The Truth, So Help Him Allah

Moammar Gadhafi is dead! Long live Libya! That is the newest mantra from the Administration of President Barack Obama. Then again, Obama has been known to play fast and loose with the truth, especially when it comes to Islam.

Now that Moammar Gadhafi is gone, who will lead Libya? Nobody knows, but if America keeps rolling down the same track it has been for a decade, it could be someone or some group worse than Gadhafi.

If what happened in Iraq is any indication of American diplomacy in the region, then what has been already a decade-long war against Islamic extremists could continue indefinitely, and at a huge cost.

The Obama Administration is beating the victory drums about Iraq. What President Obama fails to admit is he ran into a classic case of: “You’re fired!” to which he yelled back, “You can’t! I quit!”

True, Obama and Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki agreed to a complete U.S. military departure that will fulfill a promise important to Obama’s re-election effort. But one of the latest lies from our President is over why this is happening. It is not because he or the previous Administration magically created a peaceful and democratic Iraq. There will be no one like Gen. Douglas MacArthur accepting a sealed surrender from the enemy.

Instead, Obama has left Iraq teetering on the brink of civil war. The nation is falling more and more under the influences of its nuclear neighbor, Iran. The truth is America didn’t win a thing. Under Obama’s leadership, we got kicked out of Iraq and we left. In the end, we left as peaceably as the town drunk when he is thrown into the street by the saloon bouncer.

All of this reminds me of what Lt. Col. David Kilcullen, counterinsurgency adviser to Gen. David Petraeus, said a couple of years ago: “Just because you invade a country stupidly doesn’t mean you have to leave it stupidly.”

Stupid or not, Iraqi officials nixed a chance for victory and real reforms in Iraq. Because Maliki, facing dissent from inside Iraq and from bordering Iran, decided he would not provide legal justification to U.S. troops after Dec. 31. In other words, U.S. troops could be arrested, prosecuted and even executed by Iraqi civilians for so much as providing protective assistance to their own forces or even Iraqi civilians.

Of course, the Obama political machine quickly announced another victory parade, adding the withdrawal from Iraq to its list of Mideast accomplishments, which include the killing of Osama bin Laden and helping in the overthrow of Libyan dictator Gadhafi (more on that fiasco shortly).

The bottom line is Iraq is a bigger abyss today than it was when Saddam Hussein displayed his obsolete army on the parade grounds. The United States is going to be left with fewer than 200 Marines assigned to help protect the huge U.S. Embassy compound in Baghdad. It hasn’t been decided yet whether a small number of other personnel will provide training related to the fancy new military hardware which could easily fall into the hands of a belligerent and extremist Iraq.

“The rest of our troops in Iraq will come home,” Obama bragged at the White House on the final Friday of October, adding that the troops will “be home for the holidays.”

“After nearly nine years, America’s war in Iraq will be over,” the President said.

The Washington Post has already warned that sectarian strife or other violence could break out in Iraq the moment U.S. forces have left.

So America’s war in Iraq ends, with a whimper and not a bang. Never mind that U.S. military intervention in Iraq cost the United States $1 trillion and more than 4,400 American lives and left a power vacuum at the epicenter of the world’s oil.

You won’t hear a word about that from Obama’s re-election campaign. Rather, the campaign will tell voters that Obama oversaw the conclusion of the Iraq conflict. Count on such slogans as: “He brought the boys home!”

Then again, so did Richard Nixon if you count American troops being overrun by the North Vietnamese.

It is ironic that America’s inability to create stability in Iraq, the one must-win war, simply adds one more nation to a growing list of Arab countries that are imploding.

Which brings me back to Libya. The neoconservatives began arguing last winter that America must intervene to save the “rebels.” Obama has struck out in Iraq, and Afghanistan is a quagmire. Obama must have been hoping that intervention in Libya would salvage his reputation.

Right after the murder of Gadhafi, Obama hailed the declaration of freedom in Libya, saying, “a new era of promise” is under way in the African nation. Not so fast, Mr. President.

Libya is controlled by rival tribes and competing interests, none of which have one iota of democratic tradition. The way that Gadhafi and more than 50 of his close associates were assassinated has led to speculation that Libya’s future is prefigured by the chaotic violence that befell Somalia after the overthrow of dictator Mohamed Siad Barre in 1991, which has persisted ever since.

Reuters pointed out the obvious last week: that after the killing of Gadhafi, Libya itself risks tribal violence, insurgency and chaos.

DAWN.COM hammered at this point:

Gadhafi leaves behind a country with no proven governmental institutions or political parties, little or no independent civil service and civil society, no tradition of civil rights, free speech or free media, a one-track economy almost wholly dependent on oil export revenues and a system of national administration based on the fickle favour of the “Brother Leader,” family ties, patronage and corruption.

Its army broken, its borders defiled, its sovereignty outraged, Libya’s future direction is, as of this moment, more a matter of fond hope than settled policy. Democracy in Libya is an idea. It has as yet no roots and no substantive presence. Islamism, of various shades, and tribalism are, on the other hand, vibrant forces that may now feed on the power vacuum.

That sounds an awful lot like Iraq doesn’t it?

It is yet to be determined what Iraq will evolve into. As it stands today, many parts of Iraq remain giant safe houses for terrorist organizations like al-Qaida.

Peter L. Bergen makes a stunning comment on this point in his recent New York Times bestseller, The Longest War: The Enduring Conflict Between America And Al-Qaeda.

What the Bush administration did in Iraq (invasion) is what bin Laden could not have hoped for in his wildest dreams: America invaded an oil rich Muslim nation in the Middle East, the very type of imperial adventure that bin Laden predicted was the United States long-term goal in the region… it provoked a “defensive” jihad that galvanized jihadi-minded [SIC] Muslims around the world.

There is a groundswell of instability in the Islamic world. Obama can make all the victory speeches he wants and try to placate the American people with more lies. But the Holy War that began just over a decade ago is still raging, and there is still no victory in sight.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers Energy & Gold Report

Luckily, Money Doesn’t Buy Happiness

I spent some time in the steam room of the Spokane Club, drinking a cold beer, on an autumn Saturday some 30 years ago. Four times a week, my best friend and I would lift weights at what was and is today a rather swanky athletic and social club. I went there because my company paid for the membership and it had a terrific weight room, not because I wanted to hobnob with Spokane’s rich and famous.

On that particular afternoon, I noticed the other men in the steam room. We were quite the crew: two lawyers, a life insurance salesman, a realtor, two stock brokers and, in my case, an investment writer (yes, I get the irony in my writing about this subject).

I commented to my best friend Mark that none of us were really contributing to building a better society — at least not in a way that could be easily measured. The Spokane Club was a world apart from the Calgary Petroleum Club, a place where my dad sometimes took me to when I was a kid.

Fifty years ago, the people at the Petroleum Club were mostly geologists, contractors, engineers, wildcatters and cattle ranchers. There were a handful of stock brokers and car dealers as well; but back then, they were the minority.

America Is One Big Service Center

For many years, I had an old diesel Mercedes-Benz. My friends used to tease me, saying it was so old that Heinrich Himmler had driven it. Sutherland Mercedes in Spokane was up the street from my office, so I took my car there to get the oil changed. There’s no question Mercedes-Benz makes a beautiful car, but I doubt its new $100,000 sedan is four times nicer than a new $25,000 Ford sedan.

One day, I was sitting in the nice showroom drinking cheap coffee and waiting for my oil change. A doctor I knew was car shopping with his trophy wife, who looked to be half his age. The salesman was selling them a big Mercedes that would be her car.

She was giddy at the prospect of getting it. Why wouldn’t she be? I doubt she had to contribute a nickel toward the black Autobahn-slayer which she was itching to show off to her South Hill society friends.

The salesman knew he had the doctor on the ropes so he told the couple: “You know, if you buy a new car from us, we will hand wash it for you free and have it ready in 15 minutes.”

“Hear that, dear: free car washes,” gushed the wife.

The thought crossed my mind to tell them that after they paid twice for the Benz what they would pay for a new Lincoln, the car washes really weren’t free. I remembered my old car was still up on the hoist and decided it was better to keep my big mouth shut.

Economic Crisis Alert: Protect your money now or kiss it goodbyeLove What You Do, Not What You Have

Many studies have demonstrated that being poor will make you miserable, but being rich does not make you happy. At some level, society has always understood this. The ancient Greeks talked about the elusive notion of what made a good life. They called it “eudaimonia.” It’s the philosophy that happiness comes from work that helps others, not worldly possessions.

There is still a lot of money sloshing around in today’s economy. The professionals that bet on derivatives make six-figure and sometimes seven-figure salaries without really contributing anything productive other than leveraging other people’s money. I suspect that many of these professionals do it because they love the job and not solely because of the money.

Of course, you can’t tell that to the millions of people who line up to buy super lotto tickets each week hoping that one lucky number will grant them heaven on Earth. And for those who can’t beat the odds? Over the past decade, tens of millions of Americans have borrowed more money than they can afford to pay back. That has left a faltering economy which is impacting most people.

The Christian Science Monitor (CSM) reports that the standard of living for Americans has fallen further and more steeply over the past three years than at any time since the U.S. government began recording it five decades ago.

According to the CSM, the average individual now has $1,315 less in disposable income than he or she did three years ago at the onset of the Great Recession, even though President Barack Obama continues to proclaim the recession has ended. That means that an average person has less money.

More telling is that the misery index — which combines inflation and unemployment — has fallen almost back to where it was 30 years ago. That was after inflation had reached 13 percent and stocks had been going down for 16 years, a correction which eliminated two-thirds of the Dow Jones Industrial’s worth when accounting for inflation.

The remarkable turnaround that began in the early 1980s was because of the Reagan recovery and the tech revolution, which created millions of new jobs and trillions of dollars in new wealth in America. That turnaround was helped considerably by the fact that in real terms the price of petroleum fell by more than two-thirds in the 1980s.

This time around, we are not going to be so fortunate. The tech revolution that sent stock indexes soaring is spent, and there does not seem to be a Presidential candidate like Ronald Reagan on the horizon. Meanwhile, Federal government debt is more than 10 times larger than it was during Reagan’s first term.

Can Simpler Be Happier?

My grandparents took a wagon train pulled by horses from Oklahoma to Alberta a century ago. They were not chasing happiness. They were trying to build a life for themselves on “their” land during a period of abundant liberty. They were also intent on giving their children a better life. They lived through severe hardship in a tiny 12-by-12-foot home. Somehow, they survived the Dust Bowl and the Great Depression and they were able to raise three children and put them through college. They were industrious, content and, yes, even happy people.

There is a paradox, says bestselling author Raj Patel in his book, The Value of Nothing: Why Everything Costs So Much More Than We Think.

“After a certain point, more money doesn’t make us happier,” writes Patel. “Instead, we find ourselves on a hedonic treadmill, in which happiness is about matching our level of consumption with our peers, and when they do better and we don’t, even if we are better off in absolute terms, we are less happy.”

Happiness is a relative thing. Many people are convinced that German automobiles and Japanese electronics will help make them happy. When they find out that those things do not make them happy or, worse, that they lose the opportunity to acquire these things because they lose their jobs, a great many people feel cheated. This is the dark underbelly of today’s economic crisis: The ancestors of those who built a better world now have grandchildren and great-grandchildren that are angry over lost opulence.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers’ Energy & Gold Report

When Revolutions Roll Out Of Control

This is the autumn of our discontent. I believe something sinister is coming down the pipe. Week after week of demonstrations around the world could be a harbinger of revolt and even mass violence.

I am in the second half-century of my life. All my life, I followed the news because I was at the side of my father, a writer and publisher whose job was to predict investment trends. Not once in all these decades have I seen such troubled times, and that includes my memories of the 1960s.

I suspect a spark has been struck and we are all headed down a very destructive path, one that will not only destroy wealth through economic deflation but something worse: a period of violence wrought by tough times and widespread anger.

It will be up to historians to decide if the genesis of economic and social implosion began with the crash of 2008, the discontent that followed in Europe, or recent events — the mass protests that have been visited on major centers from Wall Street to Warsaw, Poland.

What is certain is that Western democracies are reaping what they sowed, especially in the United States. What began as a small group of protesters in Manhattan’s financial district has grown steadily. It now encompasses student groups, labor unions and, in some cases, the dregs of society.

The protesters in the United States call themselves “the 99 percent.” They say they represent the vast numbers of Americans struggling to pay their bills, while the income gap between the rich and the middle class widens. Throughout the ages, we have seen how small protests can turn into whirlwinds of violence.

Henry Ford said, “History is bunk.” I am convinced that the good and evil that have been expressed throughout the ages reside in today’s world. The worst evils are committed by “the crowd.” It is “the crowd” that rolls forward like a hand grenade with its pin set to slip out any second. It is “the crowd” that created the bloody madness that was the French Revolution.

The similarities between those events that lead to The Terror in France and what is occurring in the citadels of today’s civilization should not be ignored. Key to anticipating the future is an understanding of the past.

Like the United States that fought both the Cold War and decade-long wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, 18th century France spent decades fighting wars it could not afford. This overextended King Louis XVI’s treasury. Rather than taxing the elite of French society in an attempt to make up the imbalance, the king taxed the commoners who faced higher inflation as well as greater demands from the crown. The Bourbon Dynasty, which had persisted for 500 years, was forced to make compromises to the French people in 1789 because masses of unemployed people drifted toward urban centers where they were stirred into a frenzy.

In 1781 Louis approved a new council. A year later, the monarchy was abolished. However, that did not save the king’s head or the head of his wife, Marie Antoinette.

France had all the ingredients for revolt that we see in the United States. It had a leader who was impotent, and an economic crisis that could not be corrected. Only the wealthy elite were protected from the ravages of rising taxes and higher inflation.

One final link: The Court of King Louis XVI was hamstrung when it came to the nation’s energy needs. Coal was in short supply in France and had to be imported at great expense from other countries, many of which were seeking France’s ruination. It sounds much like America’s reliance on Arab oil today.

Wars were crucial in the demise of Bourbon France. In his book, The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers, famous historian Paul Kennedy writes:

The cost of a sixteenth-century war could be measured in millions of pounds; by the late-seventeenth century, it had risen to tens of millions of pounds; and at the close of the Napoleonic War the outgoings of the major combatants occasionally reached a hundred million pounds a year.

Kennedy adds that, “the link between national bankruptcy and revolution was all too clear.”

No sooner had I read this than I watched Republican presidential candidate Representative Ron Paul, R-Texas, on CNN. According to Paul, military expenditures have cost the United States $4 trillion over the past decade.

The Second American Revolution

I do not believe that what is going on today around Wall Street is what Thomas Jefferson had in mind when he wrote in a letter to James Madison on Jan. 30, 1787, in reference to Shay’s Rebellion: “I hold it that a little rebellion, now and then, is a good thing, and as necessary in the political world as storms in the physical.”

I don’t think we are facing a little rebellion. All rebellions start small; but some, like the one France experienced and what we may have to endure, could be earth-shattering.

The reasons are simple: too much debt and too little economic growth. Consider the facts:

  • The U.S. unemployment rate stands above 9 percent. The true unemployment rate, which takes into account people who have given up looking for work, is close to 17 percent.
  • For the past decade, U.S. stock indexes have been flat.  Accounting for inflation, they have actually declined. Many Americans have lost a lifetime of savings.
  • The U.S. money supply has grown threefold in the past three years. If the investment banks ever stop collecting bonuses and lend this money, it will trigger double-digit inflation; an event which will make Americans even more angry.
  • Since the stock indexes peaked in 2007, real income for Americans has dropped 10 percent. Despite the addition of trillions of new dollars courtesy of the Federal Reserve, many Americans are undergoing the greatest loss of wealth since the Great Depression.

The U.S. and other Western democracies stand at a precipice. It is a situation that is sending citizens to the streets in protest. Economic collapses and protests can quickly spill over with violence.

In case you think I am exaggerating the danger, consider these recent words from columnist Frank Miele of Daily Inter Lake:

The Russian Revolution (which coincidentally was another October Revolution) started out with slogans and protests, too, just like “Occupy Wall Street.” Of course, life in 1917 Petrograd was a lot harder and a lot more desperate than it is today in Philadelphia or New York — but the ruffians on the streets don’t care about that because they don’t study history. If they did, they might be more apt to follow the Russian example and overthrow Obama’s czars who have imposed absurd and unwieldy regulations on banking and business instead of trying to destroy the capitalists who actually have the capacity to create wealth — and jobs.

Action to take: I usually sign off suggesting you buy precious metals or a resource stock that looks good. This week, I urge you to consider what you will do if you and your family are beset by an emergency. In that case, Krugerrand gold or American Silver Eagle coins will not be of much use. I suggest you store lots of fresh water, canned foods, guns and ammunition. I hope I am dead wrong, but these items may be critical. In 30 years, I have never written such extreme advice. However, we may be entering the most extreme period of our lifetimes.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers’ Energy & Gold Report

Faith In The President

What is more important: the religious faith of the candidates running for the Presidency or voters’ faith that this time they get it right and choose the best candidate to be the next President?

My mother always told me not to discuss religion. I am breaking with her this one time. The reason is the spotlight that has been thrown on the former Governor of Massachusetts and front-running GOP Presidential candidate Mitt Romney. You probably have heard that Romney is a Mormon.

It was much publicized earlier this month when Pastor Robert Jeffress called Mormonism a “cult” at a political gathering. Jeffress told hundreds of congregants this at his Texas megachurch where he welcomed the opportunity to warn people about the “false religion.”

Following his cult comments, Jeffress introduced and then endorsed the current Governor of Texas and Republican Presidential candidate Rick Perry.

To his credit, Perry, an evangelical Christian, rebuffed Jeffress’ comments and said he does not believe the Mormon faith is a cult. This is no doubt good news to Jon Huntsman, the former Governor of Utah and another Republican Presidential candidate who is also a practicing Mormon.

The Jewish Journal summed up the religious questioning by Jeffress this way:

I guess no Jewish politician will ever get Jeffress’ blessing if he’s running against Christians. This is in the same spirit as the pastor’s laughable assertion a few years ago that “Mormonism, Islam, Judaism and Hinduism … lead people to an eternity of separation from God in hell.” He has also stated that the Catholic Church represents the “genius of Satan.” If LDS Christianity has run afoul of Pastor Jeffress, it looks like we’re in good company: 14 million Mormons + 1.5 billion Muslims + 14 million Jews + 850 million Hindus + 1 billion Catholics, all condemned by the 10,000 members of Jeffress’ megachurch in Dallas.

Is The Oval Office For Evangelicals Only?

I haven’t studied Romney’s leadership plans enough to speculate on what kind of President he would make. However, I believe the covenant Romney has between his God and himself should not eliminate him from Presidential consideration.

Consider former President Jimmy Carter. By all accounts, Carter was and is a mainstream Christian. Most of the world holds Carter in high esteem. However, that did not make him a good President.

Frankly, I don’t care about a candidate’s spirituality as long as he or she believes in God. That signifies to me that he or she believes in something larger than himself or herself and his or her ambitions. Rather than worry over a candidate’s religious convictions, I want to know if he or she is the best person for the job.

I think this is what Thomas Jefferson believed when he argued for the separation of church and state. Two hundred years later, church and state sometimes seem inseparable.

In 1787 Jefferson wrote: “The legitimate powers of government extend to such acts only as are injurious to others. But it does me no injury for my neighbour to say there are twenty gods, or no god. It neither picks my pocket nor breaks my leg.”

The Mormon Church Is Hardly A Cult

I think what Jefferson was saying is that all Americans have the right to choose which religion to follow. By extension, even American Presidents have this right.

Before you write your letters of protest, let me add this caveat: I do not tolerate theological beliefs over secular solutions. That eliminates candidates who practice a religion built upon hate and intolerance. So, yes, I would eliminate a candidate who believes in radical Wahhabism or other extremist religions that really are cults. Just because you call yourself “Reverend” doesn’t mean you can pass out the Kool-Aid to the ignorant or unsuspecting.

Romney may make a fine President. I don’t think being a Mormon should disqualify him.

Out Of The Mouths Of Babes

Only a few times have I had an important vote.

The first time was when I was on the junior varsity basketball team in high school and voted for team captain. I sided with the majority and voted for a kid named Steve who was serious about winning and who didn’t mess with booze or drugs. Steve was the first kid to come to practice and the last to leave.

It turned out Steve was a Mormon. I can’t remember how I found out, but it wasn’t important. Steve only talked about winning and getting better.

Our high school had a great debate team, and I was part of a unanimous vote for our captain, a kid named Lern. I knew Lern was Jewish. I also knew what everyone else at our school knew: Lern was not only smart but spent endless hours looking up trivia. This was eons before Google. Lern was instrumental in our school defending its city championship in a televised program called “Reach for the Top.”

I also voted for our high school class president and valedictorian. I voted for the winner, Brenda, who was an incredibly focused and ambitious girl who made a great class president. Years later, Brenda was the evening anchor for CBC News, Canada’s largest TV network. I never did learn what her religious beliefs were. It still doesn’t seem important.

I am not saying that being school valedictorian and being the leader of the free world are the same. I voted for them because of their abilities. Their religion never influenced my vote.
Finally, ask yourself one question: If you needed double bypass heart surgery what doctor would you choose? I am certain you would pick the best doctor, regardless of his religious beliefs.

More Than Ever America Needs a Great President

What the United States needs now is a leader who can guide the country toward a better future.

Your next vote for President may be the most important one you ever cast. If you get it right, does it matter if he or she is Protestant, Catholic, Jew or Mormon? Who cares if he or she reads the spiritual writings of Joseph Smith? Let’s just hope he or she also reads the economic writings of Adam Smith.

I don’t know if John Kennedy was a good President or a bad one. Whichever he was, I don’t think it had anything to do with his being Catholic. I do think Richard Nixon was a terrible President, even though as a boy he is said to have been a devout Quaker. 

A candidate’s voting record is fair game. So, too, is what he or she has said, and how he or she has lived life. I hope that no candidate is disqualified because of religion.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers Energy & Gold Report

P.S. In case you are wondering about me, I was baptized Protestant.

Obama’s Islamic Alliance

The Wall Street Journal recently pointed out that when it comes to job and energy security, President Barack Obama simply doesn’t get it. The WSJ is right. For all his soaring rhetoric, the President’s September “jobs speech” demonstrated zero insight into how America could really grow its economy while reducing its dependence on Mideast oil, as that region becomes ever more chaotic.

Despite his abilities as a campaigner, Obama continues to demonstrate his inabilities as a leader. The nation has suffered because of Obama for three years. Hopefully, there’s only one more year to go.

The WSJ reported how briskly Canada’s economy has recovered from the crash of 2008 and how secure Canada is when it comes to its energy self-sufficiency.

“Canada has recovered all the jobs it lost in the 2009 recession, and Alberta’s oil sands are no small part of that. The province is on track to become the world’s second-largest oil producer, after Saudi Arabia, within 10 years. Meanwhile Mr. Obama clings to his subsidies for solar panels and his religious faith in green jobs.”

Obama is not alone with his Green dreams. Liberals in entertainment have been back at it, protesting Alberta’s oil sand projects on Canada’s Parliament Hill.

A core issue for the latest protest has been blocking the construction of TransCanada’s Keystone XL pipeline. Liberals want to make sure that permits for its construction are blocked. What they don’t take into account is that the construction of the XL pipeline would mean an investment of $20 billion. And according to TransCanada, the project construction phase will result in 13,000 direct hires and 118,000 indirect jobs in the United States.

That is the benefit from just one project. According to a study commissioned by the American Petroleum Institute and released last month, pro-development policies in fossil fuels in the U.S. and Canada could create an additional 1.4 million jobs, and raise more than $800 billion in additional government revenue over the next two decades.

It is estimated that Alberta’s oil and gas industry supports 30,000 jobs plus hundreds of thousands of indirect jobs in industries such as construction and manufacturing. Because of petroleum, the province has an unemployment rate of 5.6 percent.

And it turns out that having a strong oil sands industry in Alberta is good for America. There are almost 1,000 U.S. companies doing work in the Alberta oil sector.

What America needs is for Washington to open offshore drilling as well as domestic oil and gas exploration in the arctic. Such programs would create jobs and allow us to finally tell the Arabs to choke on their oil.

Hollywood Must Love Islam

Obama either believes in the science fiction fantasy that affordable renewable energy will be developed any day, or he simply won’t give up a devilish deal with the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Companies — most notably the decade-long commitment to support Saudi Arabia, regardless of how many terrorists are born and bred there. What secret arrangements Obama may have with the House of Saud, I can only guess.

What puzzles me more is why some U.S. celebrities hate Canadian crude even if it means being dependent on the brethren of Osama bin Laden.

Most people in the entertainment business probably could not find Saudi Arabia on a map. But this boot that is planted in the heart of the Mideast is controlled by a tribe of billionaires who have grand ambitions — even if they have to bootstrap jihadism to keep their oil fiefdom together.

While I am all for keeping ducks safe from oil ponds, I am much more worried about a much bigger evil: the House of Saud.

So what is the real Saudi Arabia like? My only information comes from the news, books and the stories my dad told me after he returned from a month-long business trip to the Kingdom in 1962.

Dad interviewed Prince Fahd bin Abdul Aziz Al Saud for his publication, OilWeek Magazine. The Prince, who would become known as one of Saudi Arabia’s most progressive leaders, was a good host. My father was able to see some Holy Shrines and the Ghawar Oil Field, by far the largest conventional oil field in the world. And just so my old man didn’t get bored, he also got some front-row tickets to a public beheading.

In the decades since then, Saudi Arabia hasn’t changed much. The Toronto Star reported that the Kingdom recently beheaded a man for, believe it or not, sorcery.

What Obama and his liberals don’t understand is that Green technologies don’t work and Alberta’s oil sands are a far better option than depending on Arab oil, especially Saudi oil.

Keep in mind that 15 of the 19 hijackers on 9/11 were Saudi born. Also remember that the House of Saud launched not one but two oil embargoes on the United States. If you remain unconvinced that the majority of Saudis (including the royal family) hate America, pick up Robert Lacey’s recent book Inside the Kingdom: Kings, Clerics, Modernists, Terrorists, and the Struggle for Saudi Arabia.

Lacey’s book is a chilling examination of the changes that have happened between U.S. and Saudi relations over the past three decades and how the majority of Saudis despise the United States even as they are gleefully happy to sell the country their enormous reservoirs of oil.

Lacey recounts how one young Saudi science teacher was horrified as he watched the planes crash into the Twin Towers on 9/11. The man shared his outrage with other teachers who warned him that he must keep his opinions to himself and not dare make the mistake of talking to his students about the terror attack. Another teacher warned him: “If an Islamic court finds that your thoughts are ‘secular,’ they take that to mean that you’re a Muslim who has renounced the faith, that you’re an ‘apostate.’ And the penalty for apostasy is death.”

Most disturbing is the quote Lacey attributes to Prince Amr Al-Faisal, a member of the House of Saud and a well-known Saudi businessman. “As a Muslim, I condemn what bin Laden did. But the Saudis are daring people, and it is not surprising that one of the most daring terrorists in the world should be a Saudi. As many Muslims saw it, the falling of the twin towers was a lesson to the pride and complacency of the Americans. It gave them just a little taste of what the Muslims have been going through.”

Do we face a future in which the United States will have to depend on the likes of Saudi Arabia for our energy needs — this tribe of Bedouins, most of whom hate the United States? It seems so. Obama is counting on his coalition of Greens to block Alberta oil sands projects and restrict U.S. oil and gas exploration.

I suggest you ask yourself this when you vote next year: Is Obama a President that the United States can afford?

Yours in good times and bad,

John Myers
Myers’ Energy & Gold Report

Shanghaied By Gore And The Greens

Editor’s note: This is part 2 in a two-part series on the dangers of going green.

In 1992, Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping said: “The Middle East has oil. China has rare earths.”

American liberals are determined to sell out America — even it means a deal with the devil: China, a nation whose ambitions include world domination within the next 20 years.

The only thing standing in Beijing’s way is the United States, a quickly fading superpower that owes more than $1.4 trillion in Treasury debt.

America’s total servitude may soon stretch beyond money. If the Greens get their way, America will need China just to power itself up each day. That is because China has a near monopoly of rare earth elements, the essential ingredients that power renewable energy — something President Barack Obama and the Democrats in Congress insist on.

Last week, told the dirty truth about clean energy: “It’s official — China’s de facto monopoly on current rare earths production is a threat to the global economy.”

Rare earth elements were the substance discussed at length during the Sept. 21 meetings by the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific.

New American Security analyst Christine Parthemore laid out what was said at the national security meeting: “Reliable access to critical minerals is a matter of both economic and geostrategic importance to the United States. … Today, no minerals are more troubling to U.S. security and foreign policy than rare earth elements. … Supplies are concentrated mostly in the hands of one supplier [China] with its own rising demand, and the United States today has no good options for recycling rare earth minerals or substituting more easily obtained minerals.”

What are rare earth elements? Noted energy analyst and writer Robert Bryce points out that lanthanides power most green technologies. Within them is a subset that is the cornerstone to clean energy: neodymium and praseodymium.

According to Bryce, these two materials, along with the other elements found in the lanthanides’ row of the periodic table, are essential commodities in nearly all of the technologies that are seen as solutions to our energy challenges, from wind turbines and hybrid cars to solar panels, computers and batteries.

Why are they so important? Lanthanides, which are also called “rare earths,” have special features at the quantum mechanics level. The configuration of their electrons allows them to have unique magnetic interactions with other elements. In other words, they have the elements to power the green industry.

There’s just one catch: The characteristics make lanthanides a key choke point in the development of the green economy.

Made In China

This has been one of the biggest lies that Al Gore, Barack Obama and other Greens have told the nation. According to these liars, if we simply use more hybrid cars, wind turbines, solar panels and other such inventions, we will no longer have to go begging sheiks and mullahs for Middle East oil.

Rather, we will have to beg somebody else: America’s rival for superpower status. You see, China controls almost all of the world’s lithium, the essential element in all high-capacity batteries.

Bryce writes: “In its headlong rush to go ‘green,’ the United States may simply be trading reliance on one type of import for reliance on another. Instead of requiring oil supplied by dozens of producers located in the Persian Gulf and elsewhere, it will need rare earth commodities produced by the Chinese as well as lithium mined by a handful of foreign countries.”

It was reported just last month that China now produces nearly 95 percent of the world’s rare earth materials. In today’s “Go Green” society, this gives the Chinese a future monopoly over America’s future energy dependence that the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries only could have dreamed about.

People like Gore are either willfully ignorant of this truth about China’s monopoly over Green components or they gleefully ignore it, so they can collect their own green.

In 2007, Gore won his Nobel Peace Prize and declared that the United States should commit to producing 100 percent of our electricity from renewable energy and truly clean carbon-free sources within 10 years. In a November 2008 opinion piece in The New York Times, Gore said the nation must replace “dangerous and expensive carbon-based fuels with 21st-century technologies that use fuel that is free forever: the sun, the wind and the natural heat of the earth.”

Earlier that year, Gore and the Alliance for Climate Protection launched a $300 million media campaign designed to stop global climate change. Their goals were backed by a number of Web sites, including, and

In less than a year, more than 2 million people had joined and had agreed to the statement, “I want to Repower America with 100 percent clean electricity within 10 years.”

Gore’s grassroots partners include the National Audubon Society, the Evangelical Environmental Network and many other groups. All Gore’s partners seem either very stupid or shortsighted.

It is true that most Americans have no idea why rare earth elements are important or why the Chinese monopoly on them is so dangerous.

The American Dream reported last month that China is enforcing strict new quotas on the export of all these essential metals. Why is that a problem? According to one Web site: “(It is because) these metals are essential in an increasing number of high technology products.”

We are just into our second decade of the 21st century, and China owns the minerals that make critical products, including:

  • Hybrid car batteries,
  • Supercomputers.
  • Flat-screen televisions.
  • Cellphones.
  • iPods.
  • Radar systems.
  • Missile-guidance systems.
  • Satellites.
  • Aircraft electronics.
  • Smart bombs.

We may not be able to alter the world’s geology. We may have to make deals with Beijing to import these goods that are essential to America’s future. But we don’t have to turn our back on the proven power of petroleum only to further enable our Communist competitors in China.

On the eve of 2012, America can count on two things:

  1. Petroleum remains the best source of energy in the world.
  2. Washington must not be allowed to mortgage America’s future on unproven clean energy, the key components of which belong to China.

The only other alternative is Green energy, a future in which America’s biggest enemy — communist China — dictates our future and our eventual servitude.

Joseph Stalin said: “When we hang the capitalists, they will sell us the rope.” It is an ideology that persists in China today.

Yours in good times and bad,

John Myers
Editor, Myers Energy & Gold Report

Electric Cars: A Bad Idea Whose Time Has Come

Editor’s note: This is part 1 in a two-part series on the dangers of going green.

The road to hell is paved with good intentions. I have little doubt that the road President Barack Obama envisions is built around renewable energy; the only vehicles that traverse it are electric. It is the world of science fiction. America’s problem is that this world will hasten our downfall.

Case in point is Solyndra Inc.’s slide into bankruptcy earlier this month. The Fremont, Calif., solar-panel maker was magically awarded a $535 million Federal loan guarantee in September 2009. It is all part of the President’s dream to remake America green. It began with a loan from the Energy Department from funds derived from the 2009 Obama stimulus package.

Bad news for the White House and Obama Democrats came on Sept. 6 when the company filed for bankruptcy protection. Two days later, the FBI raided the company’s offices.

There was more bad news last week. Solyndra said it needs more than the initially expected four weeks to find a buyer to take over its idled solar panel-making operations.

Solyndra said it had a plan to try to find a buyer by early October, a company that could restart its recently shuttered factory and rehire some of its 1,000 staff. Maybe Solyndra can find some magic beans. It could grow something green that would stretch to the sky, something both the environmentalists and the Obama Administration need.

Recently, an opinion piece of the WNYC website summed up the failure of Solyndra:

That the government invested in a non-viable company because it wanted a “Green” photo-op and that this investment was part of a sweetheart deal to reward an Obama donor is disgusting but typical. The fact is, when the government pours money into a business or a program or an initiative, no one cares too much whether it succeeds or fails.

After all, are any of the people who made the decision to fund Solyndra going to see a pay cut to their own paycheck? Of course not. That remains the number one argument as to why the government should not have the power to use OUR money to fund their pet projects.

It’s also the most reasonable argument for why private businesses always do better than public ones. For example, Fed Ex and UPS have to balance their budgets, make cuts when necessary and care about meeting their bottom line. The US Postal Service? Less.

At least the U.S. Postal Service uses proven technology. The Obama Adminstration wants to reinvent the world with things that, frankly, don’t work — at least not yet. Solar panels are just one failed scheme. Another is the Adminstration’s support for the electric car.

A Lemon That Runs On Electricity

If you listen closely enough to Obama, you might think the Electric Age has just begun when in fact it dates back more than a century. The President has announced his goal of having 1 million electric cars on American roads by 2015. His Administration has even allocated $2.4 billion in “stimulus” money to subsidize production of them, along with the batteries and other components that they use.

Earlier this month, Forbes contributor Louis Woodhill weighed in on what he thought of Obama’s seed money for the electric car:

Unfortunately, electric cars are about to do a barrier crash into economic reality, and all the airbags in the world won’t be able to save them.  The taxpayers’ $2.4 billion is destined to join Obama’s $535 million investment in solar-panel manufacturer Solyndra at the bottom of the crony-capitalism “stimulus” rat hole.

Woodhill was specific in his criticism of Obama’s plan, especially when it comes to mass-produced battery electric vehicles. He points to Nissan, which is engineering state-of-the-art lithium batteries into its new car, the Leaf. “It costs more than twice as much ($35,430 vs. $17,250) as a comparable Nissan Versa,” Woodhill wrote.  And before you rush to save the Earth and sacrifice your pocketbook, keep this in mind: The battery-powered car provides far less convenience and performance than the car that burns gasoline.

The Leaf has terrible acceleration and has only 25 percent the range of a comparable gasoline car.

Given the cost of using batteries for the Leaf versus an economy car you can fill at $4 per gallon with gasoline, you would have to drive your new electric car 164,000 miles just to recover the additional purchase cost.

Factor in interest on your money, and you would have to drive your electric car almost 200,000 miles before you break even. It’s too bad about not being able to merge on to the freeway because of the car’s terrible performance. And it is impossible to drive a Leaf more than 60 miles per day.

That the electric car is a poor substitute for a gasoline car is nothing new. In 1896 Thomas Edison panned the electric car: “Electric cars must keep near to power stations. The storage battery is too heavy.”

More than a century later and with new lithium technology, the fortunes of the electric car still have not changed. In 2009, when speaking of the Chevrolet Volt (a big name among enthusiasts), the president of Audi America, Johan de Nysschen said: “There are not enough idiots who will buy it.”

With the exception of Forbes, the popular press has never given up on trying to find idiots to buy the electric car.

In Power Hungry: The Myths of “Green” Energy and the Real Fuels of the Future, author Robert Bryce wrote:

  • 1911: The New York Times declares that the electric car “has long been recognized as the ideal solution” because it “is cleaner and quieter” and “much more economical.”
  • 1915: The Washington Post writes that “prices on electric cars will continue to drop until they are within reach of the average family.”
  • 1959: The New York Times reports that the “Old electric may be the car of tomorrow.” The story said that electric cars were making a comeback because “gasoline is expensive today, principally because it is so heavily taxed, while electricity is far cheaper” than it was back in the 1920s.
  • 1967: The Los Angeles Times says that American Motors Corporation is on the verge of producing an electric car, the Amitron, to be powered by lithium batteries capable of holding 330 watt-hours per kilogram. (That’s more than two times as much as the energy density of modern lithium-ion batteries.) Backers of the Amitron said, “We don’t see a major obstacle in technology. It’s just a matter of time.”
  • 1979: The Washington Post reports that General Motors has found ”a breakthrough in batteries” that “now makes electric cars commercially practical.” The new zinc-nickel oxide batteries will provide the “100-mile range that General Motors executives believe is necessary to successfully sell electric vehicles to the public.”
  • 1980: In an opinion piece, The Washington Post avers that “practical electric cars can be built in the near future.” By 2000, the average family would own cars, predicted the Post, “tailored for the purpose for which they are most often used.” It went on to say that “in this new kind of car fleet, the electric vehicle could pay (sic) a big role—especially as delivery trucks and two-passenger urban commuter cars. With an aggressive production effort, they might save 1 million barrels of oil a day by the turn of the century.”

The sacrifice is all worth it, argues Obama, if only to get the nation off of its addiction to Middle East oil. There’s just one hiccup. While America is hooked on Arab oil and all the problems that come with that, green technology depends on rare earth elements. And the nation holding the bulwark of those materials — perhaps as much as 90 percent — is China.

That means that America is trading away its energy dependence on one region of the world to a single Communist country, China, a nation that has grand ambitions for the 21st century. It is China’s monopoly on these elements that is the real threat America faces if we choose to go green.

Next week, in part 2 of this report, I will tell you about China’s dominant control of critical rare earth elements that the United States could soon depend on.

Until then… yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers Energy & Gold Report

Planes, Trains And Stock Markets

Autumn is nearly here, and I am reminded of stock market crashes and one near plane crash.

The September equinox marks the anniversary of when my Uncle Richard and I took off from the homestead runway in his Cessna 172. No sooner were we airborne than we heard the stall horn howl inside the cockpit. The ear-piercing squeal told me something I already knew: Our airplane was falling from the sky. In scant seconds the plane’s landing gear slammed onto the wheat field.

No sooner were we down than the airplane bounced skyward. A lucky gust of wind grabbed at the wings; and, almost as quickly as we fell, the plane began to climb.

Later, I realized how fortunate we were. It wouldn’t have taken much to turn that propeller into a plow.

I haven’t had such a close call since, yet I have a lot of anxiety these days — not about flying, but about the stock market.

The first thing I do each morning is turn on the business channel to see if the Dow Jones industrial average is having another bad day.

You don’t have to have an MBA to know that the air keeping the stock market aloft is growing frightfully thin. Worse yet, the people flying “our” plane are acting reckless. So, each morning, I brace myself for the bad news that Wall Street’s stall horn is blaring. There won’t be a damn thing the President, Congress or corporate leaders can do about it.

Brace! Brace! Brace!

The one good thing about the terror I felt that day in the plane is that it was over quickly. The worries I pack around with me nowadays are different because I can’t shake them.

I suspect that some of you feel like I do: that with President Barack Obama at the controls, the country is spiralling out of control.

But our problems are deeper than having Obama as President. The economy is providing no lift to the stock market, and the nation is carrying so much debt that I don’t believe changing pilots will help much. I don’t think that a true Conservative or a Tea Party candidate in the White House in 2012 will save us. So hold on tight; we are going down.

The Fear of Flying

While I am no engineer, I understand a few things about airplanes. They have to be flying fast enough or else they stall. Right now, the stock market — a leading indicator — is telling us that the economy is stalling.

The Credit Crunch has ended but the Debt Disaster is pushing uncertainty strong upNotice the graph above. It measures the volatility of the U.S. stock market over the past 21 years. As you can see, equity investors have only had one worse case of the jitters since 1990, and that was in the midst of the credit collapse in 2008. Last week, the EconoMonitor commented on the current investment and economic climates:

The past summer has been filled with bad news, the current economic slowdown, financial stress and political tensions in Europe and the U.S. are in fact the logical extension of the first leg of the crisis that hit in 2008-2009. There is one major difference, though: the policy tool box to deal with financial and economic shocks is now significantly smaller than it was in 2008. Interest rates are at 1.5% in Europe, 0.5% in the UK, and 0.25% in the U.S.

In Europe, banks own large amounts of sovereign debt, which creates the possibility of a self-fulfilling crisis of bank runs and bankruptcies if fears of default on sovereign debt leads the interest rate on this debt to increase, causing a default and bank runs.

As you can see, interest rates have been cut to almost zero, and central banks can’t make money any more affordable than it is. That leaves governments with one option, injecting even more money.

Money Needs Velocity

Let me use the airplane analogy one last time. A plane needs to be going fast enough for the wings to provide lift. The economy needs velocity, which is money moving throughout the economy. If Washington pumps a lot of money into the economy but nobody spends it, it won’t provide any lift to the economy.

The United States has lots of money sloshing around. The Federal government has injected well over $1 trillion into the economy in the past three years. But the government cannot get people to spend or lend money. If these huge injections of capital get stashed in mattresses, the economy stalls. That is what is happening.

This is reflected by the consumer confidence graph below. It shows that only once in over a decade has consumer confidence been lower than it is now. Obama’s pledge to uplift America and bring new confidence to the country is nothing more than an empty promise.

United States Consumer ConfidenceBanks are not lending, and consumers are not spending. That means the American economy is set to crash.

Given the multitude of economic problems facing the United States, plus a real lack of leadership in the White House and Congress, I believe we are headed for tough times. September and October historically have been bad for stock investors as far back as 1929. As an investment writer, I have experienced market crashes three times: in 1987, 1989 and 2008. I think there is a good chance the stock market may crash again in the weeks ahead.

Action to take: Continue to hold precious metals and, in some cases, stocks that are leveraged to rising prices for real assets (petroleum, gold and other hard asset companies). Liquidate all other U.S. paper instruments. U.S. interest rates may soon spike, so I urge you to sell bonds other than cash you have tucked away in three- to six-month U.S. Treasury bills.

Next year is shaping up to be a bad year for U.S. paper instruments. Anxious investors are already disrupting the markets. I would not be surprised to see U.S. stock indexes fall below their March 2009 lows (the Dow industrials hit 6440). Don’t be surprised by a 50 percent correction in blue chip stocks. Long-term bonds — with maturities of more than 10 years — may fall in equal measure.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers’ Energy & Gold Report

No Viable Substitute For Oil, Gas

A couple of years ago, former oil maverick T. Boone Pickens launched an $82 million national advertising campaign to promote the Pickens Plan, an energy policy aimed at reducing the American addiction to foreign oil.

The public gobbled up the TV and print ads, along with the stories Pickens told. His tour even included appearances before Congress and town hall meetings.

Pickens’ message to America: “I’ve been an oilman my entire life, but this is one emergency we can’t drill our way out of.”

Pickens’ age-spotted hands still scribble futuristic plans on old blackboards. Even though he is in his 80s, it hasn’t stopped Pickens from hammering home his message: We are at the mercy of peak oil (the point in time at which the world has reached the maximum production rate of petroleum); and, because of that, the United States is vulnerable to Muslims, mullahs and sheiks.

In the 20th century, Pickens built one of the U.S.’s largest independent oil companies, Mesa Petroleum. Later, he became a successful entrepreneur and then a media darling. Today, Pickens wields power through his energy fund, BP Capital. With it he champions new energy policies to replace petroleum, yesterday’s fuel, which Pickens claims will only further enslave and bankrupt America.

Pickens faces only one problem: There is no viable substitute for oil and gas — at least not yet.

But that is no bother to people like Pickens who have always liked cash more than crude.

That is the conclusion of Robert Bryce in his 2010 book, Power Hungry: The Myths Of “Green” Energy And The Real Fuels Of The Future:

All the blather about ‘green’ has fostered the delusion that we can get our energy on the cheap without any environmental impacts at all. Again, that’s just not true.  Sure, the idea of wind turbines might have a certain charm, and arrays of solar panels might make our cities and towns look like settings for science-fiction films. And if only we could just get a few coal-fired power plants to belch a rainbow every once in a while, they might look kind of pretty, too. But the hard truth is that energy production is not pretty, cheap or easy.

I was reading about Pickens while I was on vacation last month in Kingston, Ontario. Kingston is Toronto’s poorer cousin. It is located at the intersection of the St. Lawrence River and Lake Ontario. Just a few miles from Kingston is the Wolfe Island wind facility, the site of 86 gigantic wind turbines. That gives Kingston the second-largest wind-generated energy station in Canada. There was just one problem the day my wife, Angie, and I were there: The wind wasn’t blowing.

Those hulking windmills stood motionless. I don’t know how the city and the surrounding area got its energy that day, but it wasn’t from the wind.

At a nearby park I talked to an old-timer who told me he hated the propeller monstrosities, that they had ruined what had once been a picturesque shoreline.

“Bird killers, that’s what those things are,” said the man wearing a faded Toronto Blue Jays cap.

That caught my attention. Just last year, the Greens were gloating over the conviction of Syncrude Canada Ltd., which was slapped with a $2.9 million penalty after 1,600 ducks died in a company tailings pond in 2008.

The Financial Post indicated that in just the first eight months of operation, the Wolfe Island windmills killed nearly 2,000 birds and bats. “Such numbers earned wind power generators the moniker ‘Cuisinarts of the Air,’” according to the Post.

Yet there was no indictment against the windmill operators on Wolfe Island. It seems that as long as Green machines are doing the killing, it really isn’t a big deal.

An Inconvenient Truth

Men like Pickens and former Vice President Al Gore don’t seem bothered by such setbacks, at least when the end goal is saving the planet. They and the liberals are willing to bet your money and future on renewable energy — and with good reason: The profit potential for them is enormous.

Between now and 2030, the International Energy Agency expects that $5.5 trillion will be spent on renewable energy products. After all is said and done, renewable energy could produce 10 percent of the world’s primary energy needs.

Two key phrases in that last paragraph are “could” and “$5.5 trillion dollars.”

I have a minor in geology and have yet to spend a single day working for an oil and gas company. But I am willing to bet that if you give me $5.5 trillion, I can generate a lot more than 10 percent of the world’s energy needs in the next 19 years.

Why am I so confident about what I can do with more than $5 trillion? Consider that Exxon Mobil Corp., the world’s biggest publicly traded oil company, spends about $5 billion per year on new exploration projects. If it can replace its oil by spending $100 billion over the next two decades, I bet I can do better with $5 trillion.

Yet Greens keep selling their ideas. No matter how silly some renewable energy idea sounds, investors and the Federal government are hell-bent on backing it. Forget that we are in a recession and may be headed for a depression. Forget that real unemployment is 16 or 17 percent. Forget massive trade and budget deficits. The only thing that seems important is that fossil fuels are bad and going Green is good.

This mantra is repeated for two reasons:

  1. Being Green gets votes. People love the “save the planet” candidate.
  2. If you are pro-environment, you have a good chance of getting rich with few questions asked. Bernie Madoff’s mistake wasn’t that he was a crook. It was that he was an old-fashioned crook. If he had conned people into building windmills and solar panels, Al Gore would probably have hosted a dinner for him.

My Father’s Dying Dream

It is easy to hate Big Oil, and it isn’t hard to dislike some of the people in the business. I suppose that is why some Personal Liberty Digest® readers have accused me of being pro-petroleum. So I want to share this story with you about my father, Vern, and how he spent the last year of his life.

My father was hoping that America had found a way out of its energy predicament. He was 78 years old, and he had been diagnosed with two primary cancers. He had come a long way from the farm boy that graduated with a gold medal in geology in 1930. He had earned the opportunity to cover the great oil booms: first in North America and then in the Middle East. The Petroleum Age made him wealthy and famous.

Yet he continued to hope that inventors would come up with an alternative to fossil fuels. Even though he was ill, he attended the renowned press conference given by Martin Fleischmann and Stanley Pons in 1989, a presentation on their experiments with cold fusion. The two scientists promised that they had discovered a limitless and inexhaustible source of clean energy requiring only seawater as fuel.

My dad died a few months after attending that conference. Until the end, he hoped those two men held the key to a better and cleaner future.

I, too, hope for that future. But until I see something better than the false promises by the likes of Gore and Pickens, I am going to continue to be an advocate for petroleum.

Yours in good times and bad,

John Myers
Editor, Myers’ Energy & Gold Report

Ten Years Later And Still Losing

When it comes to defeating Islamic extremists, maybe President Barack Obama should take lessons from Hollywood bad boy Charlie Sheen. That way Obama could reach his younger constituency through the magic of YouTube.

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton could throw the President a softball: “Barack, how are you doing against al-Qaida?”

The President could drag his long ebony fingers across his tanned face and then tug his graying hair. “Winning! Still winning!”

Sheen’s rants fueled by caffeine and coke — the beverage or the leaf — didn’t get him his job back on Two and a Half Men. Obama wants to keep his job. But most of us know that Obama is “losing” the War on Terror. I suspect he may be doing so on purpose.

In the 10 years since Islam murdered thousands of our women and children, we are still paying dearly for a war without borders against a ragtag enemy that hides in dark caverns.

Yes, Osama bin Laden was finally killed. And Saddam Hussein was hanged. But the United States is having one heck of a time extricating our military from Islamic lands; places such as Pakistan, where corrupt allies are most likely enemies. The lines between good and bad are so blurred these days that the War on Terror reads like a John le Carré spy novel, where evil always seems to find a fresh foothold.

Then there is the home front where a decade after 9/11 we must face the ugly truth that America continues to become a less free society.

A couple of weeks ago, as I caught a plane back to Calgary, I had the good fortune not to be submitted to a total body scan. I did get the pat-down, and then walked over and bought the August issue of Harper’s. The cover: “The American State of Terror.”

The feature article — To Catch A Terrorist: The FBI hunts for the enemy within — is the story about the vast powers given away by our government to law enforcement.

Harper’s points out liberties we have lost because of the Patriot Act, which has put unprecedented power in the hands of the FBI and even local law enforcement.

Ordinary cops are using Suspicious Activity Reports (SARs). And SARs goes far beyond investigating blatant acts you might expect from a terrorist.

Harper’s reports that suspicious activities listed on the Los Angeles Police Department’s website include: “joggers stretching for an inordinate amount of time and people carrying on long conversations on pay or cellular phones.”

That leaves us fighting a two-front war: one against the terrorists and one against our own government. Yet the Liberals don’t see it this way. They just think the government is doing its job in protecting us. What I want to know is, who is going to protect us from the government?

Victory Not In Sight
Our government cannot or will not provide an endgame to win the War on Terror. It is already the longest war in America’s history, and just how much longer it will last depends on who you ask. I tend to think it will last as long as Washington wants it to.

Yet more American blood is spilled every passing month and the nation’s once unquestioned superpower status slips a little further. It is a war that is bleeding away any chance at peace and prosperity.

It is, in the end, another Vietnam. As with that war, the U.S. forces have not been defeated on the battlefield. Back then we were an occupation force trying to inflict Western values on a people that were willing to defend their way of life to the last combatant, regardless of how long it took.

Just as were the North Vietnamese, the Taliban are very patient. In fact, the Taliban has an old saying: “You have all the watches. We have all the time.”

In his 2011 New York Times Bestseller, The Longest War, Peter L. Bergen writes that America can’t even shape events in Kabul, the capital of Afghanistan.

“Years after the fall of the Taliban, Kabul had a distinctly fin-de siècle air,” wrote Bergen. “An economy steeped in corruption and driven by the heroin/opium trade and foreign aid enriched an elite who partied into the night, taking advantage of new freedoms that under the Taliban might have earned them a reprimand from the religious police (listening to music); landed them in prison (drinking alcohol); or had them stoned to death (sex outside marriage)… But, as years went by, the establishments catering to foreigners and rich Afghans increasingly took on the look of fortresses. Hotels invested in bomb shelters and restaurants deployed armed guards. In May 2006, an angry anti-American mob shot out the ground-floor windows of Kabul’s five-star Serena hotel, and a year later Taliban fighters shot the guards outside the same hotel and went room to room hunting and shooting Westerners.”

You can order Bergen’s book at by clicking here.

The Escalating Economic Cost
On August 28 the Los Angeles Times reported:

“A decade after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, federal and state governments are spending about $75 billion a year on domestic security, setting up sophisticated radio networks, upgrading emergency medical response equipment, installing surveillance cameras and bombproof walls, and outfitting airport screeners to detect an ever-evolving list of mobile explosives.”

The Times doubts this money is being put to good use. The paper quoted al-Qaida expert and Ohio State University professor John Mueller: "The number of people worldwide who are killed by Muslim-type terrorists, al-Qaida wannabes, is maybe a few hundred outside of war zones. It’s basically the same number of people who die drowning in the bathtub each year.”

Mueller added, if your chance of being killed by a terrorist in the U.S. is 1 in 3.5 million, the question is, how much do you want to spend to get that down to 1 in 4.5 million?

The answer may depend on who is getting paid to improve those odds. Meanwhile, keeping the public perpetually afraid insures a tighter grip on power for the ruling elite.

So there you have it; Obama is losing the War on Terror. It is strange, but President Bill Clinton and President George W. Bush didn’t fare all that well either. It seems that Washington just can’t stand the idea of seeing the War on Terror end.

Yours in good times and bad,

John Myers
Editor, Myers Energy & Gold Report

America’s Boom Gone Bust

If you ask me, the Debt Crisis of 2011 is more a dog and pony show than real substance. The Democrats rightfully blame George W. Bush. The GOP points out that President Barack Obama’s spending makes Bush seem like a piker. I have news for both sides. Obama is the worst of a very long list of spenders that began with President Lyndon B. Johnson, whose spending habits President Richard Nixon was able to afford only by suspending the gold standard.

What is truly unique to the 21st century is that we are running out of affordable crude oil, the fuel that propelled staggering economic growth during the previous 100 years. And while the wheeler-dealers in Congress can lift the debt ceiling with the stroke of a pen, all the king’s horses and all the king’s men can’t put oil back in the ground again.

It was the Petroleum Age that ushered in the last and most potent round of the Industrial Revolution. It was the very fuel that powered world growth. And it was ubiquitous.

The tremendous economic growth in the 20th century, which saw the standard of living leap by a bound greater than it had jumped during the previous 1,000 years, can be attributed to a single factor: cheap and plentiful oil.

Some economic models show that labor and capital account for less than 25 percent of the actual growth of the U.S. economy. Three-quarters of the increase is the result of energy and technology, with energy producing the lion’s share of the latter.

Up until the late 20th century, energy was becoming more and more efficient. Each kilowatt produced more work. That is, until 1996. Since then, the 100-year trend has peaked, and we are no longer getting a bigger bang for our barrel.

The graph below shows how significantly oil has contributed to world gross domestic product. It underscores that the good life has come not only from great men or great ideas, but from our economic lifeblood harvested from the ground.


Easy oil meant easy times. One of the periods of great growth was between 1980 and 2000. During that time, daily oil consumption rose from 15 million barrels per day to nearly 20 million barrels per day.

During this orgy, oil prices dropped from $36 per barrel to $20. In real terms the price of oil fell by 60 percent. (See the chart below.) It’s no coincidence that during this same span America’s GDP rose from $2.7 trillion to $9.6 trillion. It was one of the most impressive 20-year growth rates in the history of the United States, and it helped Washington get spending under control.


Right along with the growing economy was a booming stock market. In 1980, the Dow Jones industrial average lingered below 1,000. By 2000, it stood above 10,000.

Over the past decade, the U.S. economic engine slowed and finally stalled with the economic crisis of 2008. Even after a recovery of sorts, the Dow sits just 2,000 points higher than where it stood at the onset of the 21st century. If you factor in an inflation-adjusted Dow, stock prices have actually declined 10 percent from when Bill Clinton was President.

Today, we face the prospect of not only higher oil prices, but a possible oil shock. With record demand and global production stagnant, the interruption of just 5 percent of the world’s oil supplies would likely create a 50 percent price spike. That would put crude oil prices at almost $150 per barrel in scant days and would push gasoline prices above $6 per gallon.

Make no mistake; petroleum is used to produce everything. Building the average car consumes approximately 27 to 42 barrels of oil. Constructing the typical desktop computer requires more than 10 times its weight in fossil fuels.

Cheap oil is essential not only for making things but in growing things as well. From making fertilizer, to powering the tractor and fueling trucks and trains to bring crops to markets, agriculture needs oil. More expensive oil makes everything more expensive.

As our dependence on oil grows, the availability of it is shrinking. The United States is currently producing less oil today than it was in the early 1950s. And you can’t find a single oil man who thinks global oil production will grow.

“Over 1.5 trillion barrels of oil equivalent have been produced since Edwin Drake drilled the world’s first oil well in 1859, reported Angel Research. “The world will need that same amount to meet demand in the next 25 years alone.”
And there is nothing on the horizon to replace petroleum. In fact, every four years, the United States consumes a cubic mile of oil. This has the energy equivalent of:

  • Four dams equivalent to the Three Gorges dam, cranking out power for 50 years.
  • More than 30,000 wind turbines, cranking for 50 years (at 100 percent capacity).
  • 104 coal-fired electric plants, going full capacity for 50 years.
  • 52 nuclear electric plants, running full-bore for 50 years.

The Crude Truth About America’s Future

The disaster building in energy means the arrest of the amazing economic growth enjoyed by the United States and the world over the past century. As oil prices go up, the cost of everything goes up — from the shoes you buy to the food you eat. That leaves less disposable income for luxuries and that means big-time profit slumps for companies of every ilk. It will be especially bad for the airline and automobile sectors, which will be hit not only by rising costs but also tumbling sales.

Of course, Obama doesn’t want America or the world to believe this inevitable truth. He hints that there is some Green Genie tucked away that will solve all of America’s energy needs. This is nonsense.

The last President that was honest about the nation’s energy predicament was Jimmy Carter. That was more than 30 years ago, and it played a role in his failure to be re-elected. Obama is determined not to make that same mistake — at least not until after the election. I expect over the next two years we will hear more baloney about the prospects for electric cars, high-speed rail systems and whatever else appeals to the President’s imagination and that he can still sell to the American people.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers Energy & Gold Report

The Depression: Past And Future

America’s recovery has run out of steam. Job growth is nonexistent. Stock indexes cling to highs set earlier this year. Barack Obama’s moneyfest has failed to right America’s listing ship. Yet no one from the Potomac to Wall Street has noticed the obvious — that the U.S. is facing a deflationary collapse worse than anything that has happened in 80 years.

I remember the Crash of 1987, Black Monday, Oct. 19. The only thing I had going for my family was that I held enough gold to somewhat offset the huge losses in my portfolio.

But I was lucky. The ensuing recovery meant that I never understood the hardship my parents and grandparents endured during the Great Depression. I worry that may change.

Bedtime Stories That Give Me Nightmares

Upon learning of the great stock market crash that swept away fortunes, my grandfather said to my dad, “Good riddance.”

The family homestead on Alberta’s prairies seemed a world away from the vexations on Wall Street in the autumn of 1929. My grandfather could not anticipate that the sweeping loss of wealth and confidence would impact his life.

When the stock market crashed, the price of wheat gyrated and began a long decline from $2.50 a bushel to a low of 25 cents a bushel in 1934.

But it wasn’t just the collapse in grain prices that almost bankrupted my family; it was the disappearance of confidence that cut a wide swath over all businesses.

My dad told the story of my grandmother. She had bought about 5,000 bushels of wheat. When the margin ran out, the brokerage firm Tull and Arden Ltd. of Calgary, Alberta, called and wanted more cash. These margin calls happened more than once. My grandparents decided to put up enough cash to hold them over. They sent Tull and Arden $5,000 above the margin.

Many brokerage firms were going out of business. My grandparents asked around and were assured that Tull and Arden would not fail.

My dad told me of the morning his mother came out of their farmhouse to say that the radio had just reported that Tull and Arden was bankrupt. The $5,000 in additional margin money evaporated; my grandparents’ lifetime of savings.

There was talk that Tull and Arden would make good on their clients’ losses. That did not happen. My grandparents never saw a nickel out of the $5,000 they had sent to support their contracts. It was gone along with the original $3,000 they had invested. That equals $100,000 in today’s money. (You can run the numbers yourself here.)

Because the family homestead wasn’t mortgaged, my grandparents were able to hang on — but just barely. Many of their neighbors were not so lucky. As confidence dwindled, so did credit. The economies of the world corkscrewed downward, and my family faced hard times over the next decade.

The Dollar’s Quarter Century Of Decline

We are staring into the face of an economic depression. Bankers are again nervous that other banks might turn off the tap. And the banking crisis of 2008 still plagues the global economy.

Already, banks have once again begun hoarding capital. And the modern economy cannot function when credit is not available. Since most companies and households don’t take out big new loans every day, it takes time for this truth to be realized. But when this happens, panic will ensue.

Washington and the Federal Reserve are doing their utmost to turn back the deflationary tide. The Fed has already injected more than $1 trillion into the economy in a desperate attempt to resuscitate the business cycle. I believe if the President had his way, he would pump trillions of dollars more into American banks, automakers and any and all corporations that might help him get re-elected. What Obama and the Federal Reserve are unable or unwilling to understand is that all this money is killing the one great thing America still had going for it: the U.S. dollar. The greenback that was once revered around the world is now an asset that depreciates almost daily.

The endgame of this accidental or purposeful mismanagement of the American economy could be a 1929-style crash of dollar instruments and devastating deflation.

Obama Will Kill The Dollar, Too

I anticipate that the greenback will lose another 30 percent of its worth against major currencies in the next two years.

As my former publisher at Agora, Bill Bonner, wrote earlier this month:

Every empire ends up broke… and defeated. And the fate of every country that has tried to run a pure paper money system… with currency not backed by gold… has been a disaster. It didn’t matter what anyone thought or did. Once you head down that road, it seems that you have to go all the way. There are a lot of byways and side-roads you can take. But you always seem to end up in the same place.

The correction in bullion prices earlier this year has run its course. Political posturing by the President and Congress and their failure to deal with the fundamental economic and debt problems facing the nation are leading us toward bankruptcy. I believe this ongoing crisis will push gold to $2,000 per ounce by Christmas.

Some have accused me of being a gold bug. Not true. I am a survivor bug. I will take no joy in seeing gold at $2,000 per ounce or even $3,000 per ounce. Such prices will mean hardship for the people I love and for the country I love, the United States of America.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers’ Energy & Gold Report

Snap Back: Stock Crash!

Stock indexes went postal on Washington’s debt deal celebration. Last Thursday, the Dow Jones industrial average declined more than 500 points, its worst setback since the Crash of 2008. Then on Friday, Standard & Poor’s downgraded America’s debt from AAA to AA+. In response, the market suffered an even greater setback on Monday, with the Dow Jones industrial average falling 643 points.

The sky is falling. If you don’t believe me, check what happened to the stock market just last week. American stock indexes vaporized $2.5 trillion in assets over five days last week, and the likelihood of a crushing depression now looms large. The only good news out of any of this is that Congress — that useless bunch of imbeciles — has gone on vacation. Good riddance.

The world is waking up to the reality that President Barack Obama and Congress have agreed only to waste more of our money. Investors get it: America is a runaway train headed for bankruptcy. Traders finally understand that Obama’s vision of Big Government is grinding the world’s greatest nation into a second-rate power at best. America, with all its debts, is being stretched past the breaking point.

Congress needs to own up to some of this mess. Just scant hours before the deadline of deadlines, Washington voted to pass a bill that would raise the U.S. debt limit by at least $2.1 trillion and cut spending by about half that amount over the next decade… or so says Washington.

This has created a big stir with the popular media, yet the government has not done its job. All this hubbub, and Big Government (just the way the Democrats want it) goes on.

But Republicans share some of the blame. The useless agreement involved wrangling, threats and even name-calling by our elected officials. The only reduction in deficit spending set in stone, for now, calls for the government to trim $900 billion in spending during the next decade. Other cuts may be made, but it is uncertain under the agreement.

Put that in perspective: Concrete spending reductions amount to $90 billion per year. Washington is expected to spend roughly $1.4 trillion this year, which it can finance only by further borrowing. These so-called cuts amount to only about 6.4 percent of the current deficit.

It is like a gambler who promises his wife to blow the family paycheck only at a discount resort in Lake Tahoe rather than Caesars Palace in Las Vegas. Remember, the Federal government has promised to reduce spending more times than Charlie Sheen has promised to quit smoking crack.

The U.S. dollar continues to slump while gold has reached all-time highs, prices that were incomprehensible a couple of years ago. The once-unassailable U.S. dollar is sitting on death row. Washington has given it only a short reprieve — and judging by the reactions of the stock markets, a very short one at that.

Equity investors finally understand that the cinching sound they hear every time America raises its debt ceiling is the sound of impending doom.

I know from experience that all things — from debt to barbed wire — can be stretched only so far.

A Tale From The Prairies

I will never forget my days repairing fences with my dad. We stabled horses and always kept an eye on the fences. We would secure them with barbed wire.

Loose wire could maim a horse, so our job was straightforward: Find and tighten any loose wires between fence posts.

We stapled the barbed wire tightly to each post, then moved on to the next one. Dad would then attach the wire stretchers, a jack-like device through which the barbed wire was threaded and then advanced. The key to the operation was to have the wire as tight as possible without causing it to break.

At each post Dad would start cranking the wire stretchers. At first, there was no noticeable change in the slack of the wire. Slowly, each crank would pull the wire through the stretchers. Within a few minutes, the wire would become taut. Then, I would staple down the wire, and we would move on to the next post.

My dad was a perfectionist. If the wire would take three more cranks, he was determined not to stop after one or two. Like anything, you can stretch something only so far before it snaps.

I could always tell when we reached that point, because the wire would start to give off a low humming sound.

That was my cue to step in with a hammer and staple. Sometimes, he would wave me back. “Let me give it a few more tugs. I want to make it tight.”

He would crank again. By then, the wire would be humming like a fluorescent light. That was when I knew to step back. Crank… snap!

At the weakest point between the two posts, the wire would snap. This threatened life and limb, because barbed wire was racing in opposite directions at breakneck speed.

I wish that more members in Congress and the President had put in a little time farming. If they had, they might understand that things can be stretched only so far before they reach their breaking limit.

Instead, our leaders are blissfully ignorant of their massive spending that continues today and every day.

Perhaps the debt ceiling should not have been lifted. Perhaps America should have experienced default. Only our mistakes teach us life’s hard lessons. And I am willing to bet that most of our government officials have never had to face tough lessons. In my opinion, that makes them poor leaders. They are sending America off in the wrong direction, one that will eventually end with a catastrophic result.

Raise And Call

There is an old saying that after you have been sitting at the poker table for more than 15 minutes and you are still looking for the patsy, you’re the patsy.

I am an American living in Canada, a nation best known for its beer and hockey. A decade ago, the Canadian dollar (“loonie”) traded under 70 cents to the greenback. It is now worth $1.05.

This speaks volumes about the mess Washington has made over the past 10 years and portends dark days ahead.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers’ Energy & Gold Report

Wild Horses And Black Swans

It seems we are all living on a razor’s edge. In Barack Obama we have an ineffective President and a Congress that seems unable or unwilling to get its act together. The Muslim threat has not disappeared after the death of Osama bin Laden, and America seems headed toward either a financial or energy crisis or perhaps both.

These are the things we suspect might go wrong. What really worries me about our future is the unknown that might jump up and bite us. Things that are not only unpredictable but are counter to anything we might expect.

I grew up on a small farm where we harvested a bit of grain, planted a lot of trees and even raised some livestock. But the understated purpose of our little operation was always horses.

My dad grew up where horses provided the power, and he loved them. He took my older sister under his wing at a very young age, and by her early 20s she was on the Canadian Olympic Stadium Jumping Team — no small accomplishment.

My two older brothers also rode. And we had a hired man, Jonesy, who was good with horses.

I tell you this not to brag, but to underscore just how much experience and horse sense we had at our little operation. Yet despite all of it, a bolt out of the blue happened one morning in the early 1960s.

We kept a stallion in an 8-foot fenced private paddock. Each year, we would breed him to one of the mares. One spring, a mare had a foal, a sprightly chestnut colt.

There was also a fenced pasture that ran parallel to the stallions and held the mixture of our other mares and geldings. Both pastures led down to a pond at the bottom of the slope.

One morning, my dad and sister decided it was time for the colt to stretch his legs. With mother in halter, they were taken into the common pasture and walked down to the pond to drink.

Now, horse people know that you can’t keep a strange stallion around a colt; he will kill it. I suspect that knowledge goes back to Mongol times or even before.

What was also known (or thought to be known) is that a gelding, having been castrated, would lose the stallion within him — the compulsion to kill a colt. Colts are thought to be safe around geldings.

That holds true, but not for a gelding named Redskin. He snorted, pawed at the ground and made loud huffing noises. Then he sprang, charging down the pasture and straight toward the colt.

I can still hear that broadside crash of Redskin driving the colt into the water. And despite protests from my dad, my sister and even the trainer, Redskin had only one thing on his mind — to drown that colt. Its mother bayed and tried to block the charges but was brushed aside by the bigger horse.

The colt was shaky and weak. The end came quickly. Something that should never happen had just happened — a gelding had purposefully killed a newborn.

There were a lot of tears that morning, but what I remember most was my dad’s consternation. “Damn it, Jonesy, what we just saw shouldn’t have happened.”

This story from my past came to me one night while reading The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

What Taleb writes is that just because we have not seen something does not mean that it does not exist. But since in our mind it does not exist, we have no way to anticipate it, much less prepare for it.

“Before the discovery of Australia, people in the old world were convinced that all swans were white, an unassailable belief as it seemed completely confirmed by empirical evidence,” writes Taleb. “The sighting of the first black swan might have been an interesting surprise for a few ornithologists (and others extremely concerned with the coloring of birds), but that is not where the significance of the story lies. It illustrates a severe limitation to our learning from observations or experience and the fragility of our knowledge.”

To Taleb there will always be black swans, impossible to predict because we can’t even conceive of them in our minds. He goes on to write that World War I, the rise of Hitler, the market crash of 1987 and 9/11 are “Black Swans.”

Taleb also says there is no way to predict them and since they have the biggest impact on society and the economy, predictions from government, scientists and economists are a waste of time — time in the writing of them and time in the reading of them.

“Go ask your portfolio manager for his definition of ‘risk,’ and odds are that he will supply you with a measure that excludes the possibility of the Black Swan — hence one that has no better predictive value for assessing the total risks than astrology,” writes Taleb.

But Taleb doesn’t throw up his hands. He says we can protect ourselves against the next Black Swan. How? Well, for the rich clients he used to work with on Wall Street, derivatives offer good protection.

For us ordinary folks I think the best — in fact, the only — protection we have from a Black Swan event is gold.

Action to take: Gold has topped $1,600 per ounce, almost twice the price it was when I started recommending it to Personal Liberty Digest™ readers two years ago. Yet given the amount of money that has been injected into the economy by the Obama Administration, plus growing world restlessness, I believe bullion will top $2,000 per ounce within the next year. A Black Swan event might take it toward $3,000 per ounce. Therefore, I urge that you continue to accumulate physical 1-ounce gold coins. My two favorites are American Eagles and South African Krugerrands.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers Energy & Gold Report



OPEC Takes Aim At America

Only once have I looked down the barrel of a gun. I can tell you it was damn disconcerting. It happened 25 years ago. The automatic rifles that were drawn on me then are pointed at America today. Yet President Barack Obama refuses to acknowledge that America is facing Middle Eastern guns.

In 1986, I traveled to Geneva to attend an emergency OPEC meeting. My father Vernon was in his early 70s but had lost none of the drive that shaped his youth as a reporter, which led him to found Oil Week Magazine and Myers Finance & Energy (MFE).

Vern was old school. While he had not changed from his reporting days, the world had. I got a sense of that when we pulled up to the hotel decked with machine gun-toting policemen.

My dad either didn’t notice the tight security at the hotel or he simply didn’t care. He asked the desk clerk, “Where’s the meeting?”

That was a tough question for anyone, never mind someone not familiar with English.

“Are you looking for the OPEC meeting? That is on the penthouse,” he responded.

“Thanks,” mumbled my dad, as he marched toward the elevator. As I crept behind, I heard the clerk say: “Sir, you are not allowed up there!”

Inside the elevator my dad said, “Penthouse!”

The elevator operator protested until my dad spelled it out: “We are the press.”

The operator reluctantly pushed the button. As our elevator climbed higher, I got a sinking feeling in my stomach. I understood we were about to walk in unannounced on some of the world’s biggest power brokers.

The elevator stopped. The doors slid open and before you could say, “Sheik Your Booty,” four machine guns were aimed at our heads. There stood four of the biggest men I have ever seen, each wearing a turban and a bulletproof vest.

Questions were barked out in Arabic. My dad was led down a hall while a single guard stood over me. I must have put him at ease; because after a few minutes, he shouldered his gun and offered me a cigarette.

Our entrance was like the Keystone Kops, but luck would have it that Vern got his story. Down the hall was a member of the Saudi delegation who remembered my dad from a 1962 trip to the Kingdom. While I stood before the guard, Vern was talking to his old Saudi acquaintance. He learned that Saudi Arabia was going to open up its spigots. Over the next several months, oil prices began to fall dramatically.

An Energy Crisis Waiting to Explode

That OPEC no longer exists. The de facto leader of OPEC today is militant Iran, whose influence grows with each passing month. Whether we know it or not, America is staring into the guns of OPEC.

A recent simulation called Securing America’s Future Energy declared that the United States lacks effective energy policy responses in the event of another OPEC embargo. The Heritage Foundation, which is made up of current and former government officials and diplomats, reported that protracted turmoil in principal OPEC countries has the potential to cause a sharp decline in oil production and an acute price spike.

The crisis game they played was called Oil ShockWave, and it took place in The Ritz-Carlton ballroom a stone’s throw from the White House. Players included George Bush’s former deputy secretary of state John Negroponte, a former official of Jimmy Carter’s Administration and a former Shell Oil chief executive. They participated as make-believe cabinet officials. At the conclusion of the simulation, participants acknowledged America had become hostage to its need for oil, yet they couldn’t quite seem to break away.

“We are reaping the harvest of our dependence on petroleum and the fact that the countries that produce it are either unstable or hostile to our interests,” declared Stephen Hadley, who reprised his real-life role as Bush’s national security adviser. “How did we let this happen when we’ve known we’ve been dependent on oil for 20 years?”

Former Shell Oil chief executive officer John Hofmeister played the role of energy secretary in the exercise. He gave assurances about U.S. domestic supply. Not one person called for an accelerated transition to renewable energies. According to one participant, nobody even whispered the words “climate change.”

Hofmeister said: “The most powerful message that we have is that the United States of America has more oil than any other country in the world that we know of. We have simply been holding ourselves back from producing that oil. I think it is time to really get the message to Congress that it is time to start producing.”

My question is: When is Obama going to wake up to the impending crisis? It may already be too late, and if Muslim guns turn on the Saudi Royal family itself, it will be far too late — not just for the House of Saud for but the United States.

Ari Fleischer, the White House press secretary under George W. Bush, said: “The president has to do something bold. He has a real challenge to his leadership.”

Fleischer’s conclusion is that Obama should announce the Federal government is going to open up every acre of land for oil drilling that was previously declared off-limits.

After 2½ years of disappointment, I think my odds of winning the SuperLotto are better than the chances that Obama will wake up to the petroleum peril America is facing. That is bad news for the country, which is staring down the barrel of $8 per gallon gasoline prices.

This summer the threat of soaring energy costs has been swept under the rug by a President and a Congress that want us to be mesmerized by the “debt crisis.” I believe a compromise on the debt ceiling will happen. While nobody may like it, it will do enough to temporarily placate dollar holders. Meanwhile, the clock continues to count down toward zero hour when energy prices explode.

As an investor, you should seek out blue chip petroleum companies whose reserves are in North America. Natural gas is extremely underpriced right now. Besides being abundant, it has the added benefit of pleasing the Greens because it is cleaner than coal and oil.

According to a report from International Energy Agency, natural gas is poised for a golden age — with at least a 50 percent spike in demand by 2035.

The upswing in natural gas comes from several factors. First, there will be a continued focus on energy sources that have lower carbon-emission levels. What’s more, demand from China, India and other emerging economies should remain strong.

In addition, as seen with the Fukushima nuclear implosion in Japan, natural gas looks fairly safe. Germany recently announced that it will shut down 17 of its nuclear power plants.

Action to take: Buy EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG. $101). The company is a big producer of natural gas in North America. But it also has operations in China, so it can take advantage of the resilient Asian economy.

EOG is on the cutting edge of finding and developing unconventional sources of natural gas, especially methane extracted from shale.

EOG has proven reserves of 11.7 trillion cubic feet and not much debt. That combination allows EOG to finance further exploration, while developing new technologies to extract gas. EOG could be a takeover target by one of the majors within the next year.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers’ Energy & Gold Report

Oil: Idiocy Or Conspiracy?

With oil priced at just two-thirds of its highs set three years ago, President Barack Obama launched yet another spend-now-pay-later program. But this time, the President has done it with something much harder to replenish than fiat dollars. He is spilling out the nation’s emergency crude oil reserves.

A year after Obama began limiting domestic petroleum exploration, he has begun siphoning off America’s last energy bulwark — the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). Thirty million* barrels of oil have already been frittered away by Obama, yet oil prices are now higher and supplies are tighter than they were before these precious emergency reserves were drained away.

Obama’s actions are so blatant that I refuse to give him the benefit of the doubt. Not only is the price of crude far lower than it was in the summer of 2008, but there is no physical shortage. Just the opposite; oil inventories in June were close to historic highs. There can be no doubt, however, that they will decline. The President has choked off domestic offshore oil exploration and has refused to open up potential petroleum-rich regions like Alaska for onshore exploration.

Does the President really believe we are in a crisis now? Or does he want to make things worse by throwing away our last line of defense, the SPR?


Crude Oil Prices Light Crude

Last week, Congressional leaders grilled Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke as to why Americans are facing rising prices even in the face of a stagnant economy. Crude oil is traded in U.S. dollars, meaning that petroleum exporters like OPEC are insisting on higher well-head prices for finite amounts of oil in a world where Washington is able to create an infinite amount of dollars. It all translates to higher prices at the pump — if not this summer, then certainly by the end of the year.

Worldwide oil supplies are not keeping pace with global demand. Emerging markets’ demand for oil is rising, while mature fields in Russia, the North Sea and Mexico start to wind down.

Congressman Bill Cassidy (R-La.) along with 26 other lawmakers, signed a letter to the President on the drawdown of the SPR. They openly question why the Administration tapped the SPR without adopting a national energy policy that will lessen America’s dependence on foreign oil. The letter begs the question: Why not develop America’s energy resources and remove regulations on drilling in the Gulf of Mexico?

The letter from those members of Congress states:

It’s time to adopt a national energy policy which develops America’s natural resources, creates jobs and lessens our dependence on foreign oil. By tapping the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the administration acknowledged that rising gasoline costs and increased dependence on foreign oil are unacceptable. Yet, the Department of the Interior continues to delay the issuance of new permits for offshore drilling in the Gulf of Mexico.

The current energy policies damage not only Louisiana’s economy but also exacerbate America’s energy problems. The president has often expressed interest in alternative energy. These polices can be pursued without ignoring domestic energy resources and the associated good paying jobs.

Is Obama acting out of stupidity or is something more sinister going on? That’s a reasonable question, considering that the President is driving America toward an energy maelstrom.

Obama apologists argue that the President simply doesn’t know better, that he and his team of energy advisers really do believe that the draining off of America’s emergency energy reserves makes sense so that the country can afford one last summer’s trip to Nantucket.

I don’t buy that Obama is stupid, not for one second. Say what you will about the President, but he is intelligent, probably too much so for the country’s own good. Obama is a graduate of Columbia University and Harvard Law School. Ivy League universities don’t graduate dummies. I have had two friends who graduated from Yale. Both are remarkably smart.

So what does that leave us with? I believe we have a President who is pressing forward an energy policy that will backstop Saudi Arabia at any cost.

Bandar Barry

Because of the Bush family’s close relationship with the Saudi royal family, Bandar bin Sultan bin Abdul-Aziz, Saudi Arabia’s ambassador to the United States from 1983 to 2005, was nicknamed Bandar Bush.

And while each President since Richard Nixon has supported the House of Saud, no President before Obama has bowed so diligently and committed so much to Saudi Arabia. It seems the Saudi Kingdom dictates policy to Obama rather than the other way around.

Two years ago, another Saudi former ambassador to the United States, Turki al-Faisal, wrote an essay for Foreign Policy badgering “misguided” U.S. politicians who promote American energy independence from the Kingdom. According to the former ambassador, it is “political posturing at its worst.”

I am offended that our President would take such lectures on decency from a tribal prince living in a brutal Muslim regime. had the same conclusion on July 11.

It’s not just that Obama has presided over the near-end or slow crawl of new domestic drilling. The administration has been dragging its feet on approving a game-changing new pipeline (from Canada) that would, according to a December 2010 study commissioned by the Obama administration itself, effectively eliminate our dependence on oil from Saudi Arabia…

Our dependence on, in many cases, anti-American oil — Saudi oil, Nigerian oil, Venezuelan oil and the rest — will continue to rise, transferring our remaining wealth to the stand-out Shariah states, kleptocracies [SIC] and Marxist states of the world, further entrenching that ‘oasis of interdependence and cooperation’ Saudi royals talk about. It’s the Saudi dream come true. But it’s an American nightmare.

I can’t speculate as to why the President of the United States is selling out the nation to appease Muslim oil exporters. I believe Obama’s energy policies are inconsistent with those of a President working for America’s best long-term interests.

Action to take: Obama’s policies are leading to a depreciating dollar and higher oil prices. My expectation is that within the next 18 months, crude will surpass $150 per barrel. I urge you to buy blue chip North American petroleum stocks. Suncor Energy, one of Canada’s leading oil sands producers (SU, NYSE, $39.50), remains one of my favorite picks.

In the end, all of Obama’s horses and all of Obama’s men won’t be able to put the House of Saud back together again.

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Myers’ Energy & Gold Report


*Update: The original post had billion. Million is correct.

Defending Your Life

Sometimes, we are in danger because we are in the wrong place at the wrong time. Knowing what to do to avoid such a situation, or what you must do if you cannot, can be a lifesaver.

As a child, I was bullied, and I took more than my share of beatings in the schoolyard. I grew out of that stage and became a satisfactory football player. But I was never confident that I could defend myself.

At 17, I spent a year taking karate lessons. The conditioning part of it was fine, but part of me knew it was a waste of time. There was never any contact, and our sensei taught us that we had to pull our punches. In football we were taught to tackle through the opponent, so I knew there was something amiss.

Later, I spent a lot of years in the weight room. Even as I got stronger, I never had confidence. I decided to go back to traditional karate classes when I was 30. The kata movements that were taught were more choreographed dance steps.

Each day driving home from work, I would pass Matt David’s kickboxing gym. I finally mustered up the courage to go in.

Matt David was an imposing man. He owned a Spartan Gym in the rough area of town, along East Sprague in Spokane, Wash. Matt had a regulation boxing ring at the center of the gym. Surrounding it were speed bags, heavy bags and a mirrored wall. In the evenings, the Lilac City Boxing Club would train there.

I was not so impressed that Matt David had a 7th dan black belt in traditional kenpo karate, a rank he was awarded from the renowned Ed Parker. What impressed me most was that Matt had been an all-state wrestler in high school and was a former two-time California Golden Gloves heavyweight boxing champion.

When I first sat down with Matt, he asked me if I had any martial arts experience. I told him I had spent a couple of years in karate.

“That’s too bad,” he said. “But I can teach you to lose those bad habits.”

So began the school of hard knocks. No longer did I wear a white gi with a belt around my waist. Instead I wore tennis shoes, shorts, a T-shirt, hand wraps and a molded mouthpiece.

Our training was broken into two parts. First, we did calisthenics, hit the bags and shadow boxed. Then, we sparred in the ring with 16-ounce gloves, wearing full protective headgear.

I learned two things: that I didn’t know how to throw a punch and, more important, I didn’t know how to take a one. I dreaded getting in the ring against experienced fighters, but I was willing to pay that price.

That first summer at the gym, I took some tough rounds and suffered a couple of concussions. After one tough round, the head coach for the Lilac City Boxing Club, Dan Vassar Sr., approached me.

“Are you getting tired of getting beat up?” he asked.

At age 34, I joined the boxing club. I started training five days a week. I soon began to improve and gain confidence.

In three years, I had only three fights. I lost them all. But I finished each one of them on my feet. It was an incredible experience to spar against gifted fighters and with great instructors. It was invaluable.

A few years after I stopped boxing, I was cornered by two men on a stairwell when I was with my 10-year old son. They wanted to rob me.

My son and I were lucky: We got out of that mess without a scratch. Our two attackers didn’t fare so well. One ran away, and the other was taken by ambulance to the hospital.

I was not charged. To this day, I know the outcome would have been very different if I had not practiced full-contact fighting.

Three Rules To Live By

I encourage anyone at any age to learn realistic self-defense. No, you don’t have to join a boxing gym. You should not, however, waste another dollar or minute in traditional non-contact martial arts. Instead, study judo, wrestling or mixed martial arts — anything that involves actual physical contact.

In his book Streetwise: The Complete Manual of Personal Security and Self Defence, Peter Consterdine writes that the self-defense combinations most schools teach are a waste of time, that no one ever uses a karate-based attack and they don’t leave their hand or foot stuck out for you to do your stuff.

Consterdine knows his stuff. He is a former British Karate International full-contact kickboxing champion as well as a reputable bodyguard.

If you are unconvinced, consider the adage: “The way you train is the way you fight.”

If you think you might have to defend against a 2-by-4 piece of pine, then by all means, take up traditional karate or tae kwon do and learn how to break a board in half. Then again, traditional martial art students might want to consider what the late, great fighter Joe Louis once said: “Everyone has a plan until they’ve been hit.”

If you want to learn more about real self-defense, pick up a copy of Forrest Griffin’s book, Got Fight?: The 50 Zen Principles Of Hand-to-face Combat. Griffin is a former Ultimate Fighting Championship® light heavyweight champion. Reader beware, he uses graphic language and details the savagery that is a part of his life in and out of the octagon.

The best advice I got from Matt David had nothing to do with throwing punches or applying arm bars. He had three simple rules:

  1. Don’t be in a place where you will have to defend yourself.
  2. If trouble comes your way, run.
  3. If you can’t run, grab the closest thing you can and use it as a weapon.

Hopefully, you can avoid ever having to defend yourself. If you must, you can only hope you have learned a few tactics and that the person threatening you says: “I have to warn you… I have a black belt in karate!”

Yours in good times and bad,

–John Myers
Editor, Myers’ Energy & Gold Report

NOTE: Dan Vassar passed away last autumn. You can read about his life here.

Why I Hate Walmart

I doubt any of the nine justices on the U.S. Supreme Court has ever shopped at a Walmart. That probably helped the retail giant when the Court dismissed the largest employment discrimination case in U.S. history last month. But the Supreme Court’s refusal to hear the case brought by 1.5 million female employees hardly makes Walmart a paragon of good business.

The best prices in town really only add up to big profits for Walmart shareholders. Annual sales total more than $300 billion per year. In 20 years, the price of Walmart stock (NYSE:WMT) has risen almost tenfold. But Sam Walton’s Frankenstein has killed off countless small businesses and destroyed hundreds of thousands of jobs.

Based on revenues, Walmart is the largest company on the Fortune 500. The company employs 2.1 million workers worldwide — 25 times more than Exxon/Mobil. Roughly 90 percent of Americans live within 15 miles of a Walmart.

Walmart’s 4,424 stores in America are supplied by 10 million 40-foot containers that cross the Pacific each year from Singapore, Shanghai and Shenzhen, China, to the Long Beach/Los Angeles port. It is estimated that Americans spend $36 million at Walmart every hour of every day, almost all of it on cheaply produced goods made in Asia.

But this fact flabbergasted me most: Walmart imports more goods from China than the total imports from the U.K. or Russia. That makes Walmart a huge contributor to America’s trade deficit, an imbalance that is eroding America’s economic prospects.

In the book The Retail Revolution: How Wal-Mart Created a Brave New World of Business, Nelson Lichtenstein writes: “(Wal-Mart has created an) imagined community where economic and moral lives are interconnected and virtuous. The fact that Wal-Mart itself contributed to the conditions that lead to so much social and familial instability may be irrelevant to those who shop and work there. Indeed, the low pay, high turnover, awkward shifts, and general precariousness that have become the norm.”

My Walmart Story

Last Christmas, I went to Walmart with my wife, Angie, who spent a pile of money there on decorations. Since I bought my Timex at that store the previous summer, I took it the jewelry section to see if they could fix the light that no longer worked. The clerk took it apart in front of me, then gave it back and said, sorry, the watch was OK but the light was broken. Not a problem. That is, until I got home and looked at my watch. It had stopped.

I got in my car and drove through Christmas traffic. This time, I got a different clerk. The clerk that stopped my watch had gone home.

I told the new clerk what had happened, and I could tell she was getting cranky.

“It’s not like we stopped your watch,” she declared.

“It’s exactly like that,” I said.

I knew she wasn’t going to budge. She kept insisting that no Walmart clerk under any circumstances would ever take any watch apart. She repeated this even though she was standing beside the very instrument that had dismantled my watch just an hour earlier.

Finally, I noticed the security camera directly above us.

“Check your cam for 2:55 p.m. That’s when the watch stopped, and that’s what time you will see that the clerk took my watch apart.”That is when she accused me of running a scam to get free batteries out of the store. I told her I was not making a living running around the city stealing Timex batteries from Walmart stores. I went on and explained that it’s like taking your car to get washed, and then it won’t start.

That’s when she told me she knew all about cars because she drove a Lincoln and added that she used to manage seven retail stories where she repaired “nice watches. Rolexes!”

I told her I didn’t care if she once polished the Crown Jewels; I wasn’t leaving until that Timex started ticking.

Finally, my wife, Angela, came along. One of her friends is married to the manager at the store. Angela politely mentioned the manager’s last name.

To which the clerk screeched, “What’s his first name!?”

Only after Angie calmly pronounced the manager’s name, proving she was not a liar, did the clerk finally realign the battery on my watch. It took her less than a minute. As she handed it back to us, she said: “You wouldn’t believe the kind of people we get in this store.”

“She means people like us,” Angela said.

When I started telling friends my Walmart story, I learned that many had their own, some worse than mine.

I decided I would do some research and not let one cranky clerk sway my opinion. I phoned the public library and asked them to set aside some books for me on Walmart. I was shocked to find they had held seven books, all of them to varying degrees negative about the mega-retailer. In fact, one of them — How Wal-Mart is Destroying America (and the World) by Bill Quinn — is rife with horror stories told by shoppers and employees.

Quinn’s book makes other criticisms, too. It points to a 1993 article by The Wall Street Journal that reported on the predatory ways of the retailer. According The Journal, Walmart would lavish money on small-town newspapers with full-page ads. After the company had run its competitors out of business, it cut its advertising budget to the bone. Publishers were left to suffer along with many others in the community.

Dana Meadows, the late founder of the Sustainability Institute, pointed out a Massachusetts study which stated that for every 140 jobs Walmart adds, an estimated 230 higher-paying jobs are destroyed.

You can read the report here.

I am skeptical of this study. But you cannot argue that Walmart has hurt countless family businesses. In Quinn’s book is this 2003 letter from Doug Hartig, the CEO of America’s second-oldest continuously operated family drug chain:

“I’m am a third generation pharmacist, fifty-three years old, with a wife and two great high school boys at home. I spend about half of my time battling Wal-Mart in some way, shape or forum every day. In a nutshell I’ve lost one store to Wal-Mart and they’re after me again.”

Hartig had built a spanking-new store in Galena, Ill., after lots of politicking and hard work. It turned out that Walmart liked his location so much that it decided to build a mega-store right beside his. For three years, Hartig fought to stop the building of that Superstore. It opened in 2005.

Hating Walmart Doesn’t Make Me A Liberal

Walmart is reminiscent of how John D. Rockefeller ran Standard Oil a century ago. He would come into an area and, if he couldn’t buy an oil refinery on the cheap, J.D. would build a Standard Oil refinery next door and sell gasoline below cost. That is, until the other refinery went out of business. Then, Standard Oil would jack up its prices.

On the subject of oil and Walmart, fiction writer Douglas Coupland had this to say: “If I think too much about all of those Chinese factories where all the stuff in a Wal-Mart is made, I get that woozy feeling you get when you see ducks covered in crude oil.”

I understand that a great many Conservatives like Walmart. My grudge against the retailer is not because its female workers didn’t get the Supreme Court to hear their case or because Walmart is anti-union.

Mostly, I don’t like Walmart because it has become so big that it doesn’t care about its customers. America was made great because businesses used to have a heart. My Walmart experience told me that it doesn’t give a damn. Its philosophy: “We got another billion where that guy came from.”

Yours in good times and bad,

John Myers
Editor, Myers’ Energy & Gold Report

Note: The Walmart facts mentioned in the column come from, the books mentioned above and this website.